Union Atletica vs Penarol prediction
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Union Atletica
PenarolUnion AtleticaPenarolTotal Margin Win
Union Atletica
Penarol
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Union Atletica vs Penarol
Union Atletica
Penarol
Last 28 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Union Atletica at home, last 15 games · Penarol away, last 23
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Union Atletica 0, Penarol 2.
- Average total 158.5 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PEN by 8 Dec 18, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 18, 2025 Liga Uruguaya Penarol 88–80 Union Atletica 168 pts
- Oct 20, 2025 Liga Uruguaya Union Atletica 59–90 Penarol 149 pts
Last five games
Union Atletica
2-3 - Oct 29: Goes 97, Union Atletica 83. Lost. Odds: Goes 1.30, Union Atletica 2.80.
- Oct 26: Union Atletica 73, Atenas 82. Lost. Odds: Union Atletica 1.11, Atenas 4.40.
- Oct 23: Aguada 66, Union Atletica 63. Lost. Odds: Aguada 1.16, Union Atletica 3.85.
- Oct 21: Larranaga 78, Union Atletica 94. Won. Odds: Larranaga 1.70, Union Atletica 1.98.
- Mar 23: Union Atletica 95, Cordon 71. Won. No odds on record.
Penarol
4-1 - Oct 28: Malvin 76, Penarol 101. Won. Odds: Malvin 4.10, Penarol 1.14.
- Oct 21: Urunday 79, Penarol 91. Won. Odds: Urunday 4.20, Penarol 1.17.
- Jun 22: Aguada 92, Penarol 107. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 19: Penarol 80, Aguada 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 16: Aguada 92, Penarol 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Penarol coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Union Atletica coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 13.7 — Union Atletica +0.2 per 100 possessions, Penarol +13.9.
- 6th vs 8th in the Liga Uruguaya standings.
- Different pace — Union Atletica averaged 77.1 possessions per game, Penarol 82.6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UNI moneyline | 4.75 | moved down 4.40 |
| PEN moneyline | 1.15 | moved down 1.13 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved up 162.5 |
| UNI spread | +10.5 | +10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Uruguaya standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bigua |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 374 | 333 | +41 |
| 2 |  Goes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 347 | +28 |
| 3 |  Malvin |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 308 | 335 | −27 |
| 4 |  Aguada |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 308 | 292 | +16 |
| 5 |  Atenas |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 282 | 324 | −42 |
| 6 | Union Atletica |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 313 | 323 | −10 |
| 7 |  Urunday |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 337 | 341 | −4 |
| 8 | Penarol |
2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 192 | 155 | +37 |
| 9 |  Nacional |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 281 | 284 | −3 |
| 10 |  Hebraica y Macabi |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 253 | −9 |
| 11 |  Defensor |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 153 | +12 |
| 12 |  Larranaga |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 314 | 353 | −39 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Union Atletica host Penarol in the Liga Uruguaya on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.