Union Atletica vs Atenas prediction
Union Atletica
17
20
12
24
Atenas
28
25
19
10
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Union Atletica7387Atenas8279Union Atletica7387Atenas8279Total 166 Margin UNI by 8 Win UNI 69% Actual 155 · ATE won
Union Atletica vs Atenas
Union Atletica
Atenas
Last 28 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Union Atletica at home, last 15 games · Atenas away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Union Atletica
2-3 - Oct 23: Aguada 66, Union Atletica 63. Lost. Odds: Aguada 1.16, Union Atletica 3.85.
- Oct 21: Larranaga 78, Union Atletica 94. Won. Odds: Larranaga 1.70, Union Atletica 1.98.
- Mar 23: Union Atletica 95, Cordon 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 20: Bigua 81, Union Atletica 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 17: Urunday 89, Union Atletica 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Atenas
3-2 - Oct 23: Atenas 80, Lanus 69. Won. Odds: Atenas 1.30, Lanus 3.25.
- Oct 22: Atenas 77, Nacional 90. Lost. Odds: Atenas 6.50, Nacional 1.04.
- Oct 20: Malvin 77, Atenas 66. Lost. Odds: Malvin 1.06, Atenas 5.80.
- Oct 12: Atenas 91, Ferro 86. Won. Odds: Atenas 1.36, Ferro 2.97.
- Oct 7: Olimpico 87, Atenas 91. Won. Odds: Olimpico 2.09, Atenas 1.69.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 10.8 — Union Atletica +0.2 per 100 possessions, Atenas −10.6.
- 6th vs 5th in the Liga Uruguaya standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UNI moneyline | 1.16 | moved down 1.11 |
| ATE moneyline | 3.85 | moved up 4.40 |
| Total points | 161.5 | 161.5 |
| UNI spread | −10.5 | −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Uruguaya standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bigua |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 374 | 333 | +41 |
| 2 |  Goes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 347 | +28 |
| 3 |  Malvin |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 308 | 335 | −27 |
| 4 |  Aguada |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 308 | 292 | +16 |
| 5 | Atenas |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 282 | 324 | −42 |
| 6 | Union Atletica |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 313 | 323 | −10 |
| 7 |  Urunday |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 337 | 341 | −4 |
| 8 |  Penarol |
2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 192 | 155 | +37 |
| 9 |  Nacional |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 281 | 284 | −3 |
| 10 |  Hebraica y Macabi |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 253 | −9 |
| 11 |  Defensor |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 153 | +12 |
| 12 |  Larranaga |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 314 | 353 | −39 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Union Atletica host Atenas in the Liga Uruguaya on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.