Umea vs Sodertalje prediction
Umea
18
24
9
13
Sodertalje
22
12
24
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Umea6488Sodertalje7875Umea6488Sodertalje7875Total 163 Margin UME by 13 Win UME 81% Actual 142 · SOD won
Umea
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Sodertalje
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Umea vs Sodertalje
Umea
Sodertalje
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Umea 1, Sodertalje 2.
- Average total 149.3 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SOD by 16 Dec 20, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 20, 2025 Basketligan Umea 65–81 Sodertalje 146 pts
- Dec 12, 2025 Basketligan Sodertalje 94–68 Umea 162 pts
- Oct 17, 2025 Basketligan Sodertalje 68–72 Umea 140 pts
Last five games
Umea
0-5 - Sep 25: Norrkoping 108, Umea 75. Lost. Odds: Norrkoping 1.03, Umea 9.50.
- Mar 17: Umea 84, Uppsala 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 14: Hogsbo 81, Umea 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: Koping Stars 105, Umea 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 17: Umea 90, Jamtland 99. Lost. No odds on record.
Sodertalje
2-3 - Sep 25: Sodertalje 89, Sloga Uppsala 67. Won. Odds: Sodertalje 1.45, Sloga Uppsala 2.61.
- Mar 27: Sodertalje 89, Boras 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 24: Boras 82, Sodertalje 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 22: Boras 91, Sodertalje 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 17: Sodertalje 93, Sloga Uppsala 51. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Umea coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 32.9 — Umea −12.6 per 100 possessions, Sodertalje +20.3.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Sodertalje.
- 149.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 163.5.
- 10th vs 1st in the Basketligan standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UME moneyline | 2.95 | 2.95 |
| SOD moneyline | 1.35 | moved up 1.36 |
| Total points | 162.5 | moved up 163.5 |
| UME spread · regulation | +5.5 | moved up +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sodertalje |
8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 713 | 592 | +121 |
| 2 |  Jamtland |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 813 | 730 | +83 |
| 3 |  BC Lulea |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 872 | 748 | +124 |
| 4 |  Norrkoping |
8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 733 | 681 | +52 |
| 5 |  Uppsala |
7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 537 | 578 | −41 |
| 6 |  Boras |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 605 | 626 | −21 |
| 7 |  Nassjo |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 632 | 663 | −31 |
| 8 |  Koping Stars |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 700 | −18 |
| 9 |  Hogsbo |
7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 582 | 637 | −55 |
| 10 | Umea |
8 | 1 | 7 | .125 | 605 | 692 | −87 |
| 11 |  Sloga Uppsala |
7 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 544 | 671 | −127 |
- Playoffs: Qualifying Finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Umea host Sodertalje in the Basketligan on Tuesday, September 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.