Ulm vs Wurzburg Prediction & Odds

BBL Sunday, September 27, 2026Sun, Sep 27 Start12:00ET Round 3

UlmHome · 3-4 · 12th · 1.25

672492212

WurzburgAway · 4-2 · 6th · 3.70

9016252128

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Ulm 24 9 22 12

Wurzburg 16 25 21 28

FT Ratiopharm Arena · GermanyRatiopharm Arena · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 1.23 82%

Ulm to win edge −5.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 1.23 Ulm to win Confidence82% model 66.3% · market 72.0% edge −5.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.23 66.3% 72.0% −5.7% 82% Lost

Total points U163.5 1.56 62.7% 50.0% +12.7% 75% Won

Point spread WUR +7.5 1.82 43.2% 50.0% −6.8% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ulm6782

Wurzburg9075

Total 157 actual 157

Winning margin ULM by 7 actual WUR by 23

Chance to win ULM 66% WUR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ulm6782

Wurzburg9075

Total 157 Margin ULM by 7 Win ULM 66% Actual 157 · WUR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Ulm large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Wurzburg

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Ulm vs Wurzburg

Ulm Wurzburg

Last 13 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Ulm 2-3

Sep 25: Phoenix Hagen 78, Ulm 93. Won. Odds: Phoenix Hagen 2.60, Ulm 1.47.
Sep 20: Ulm 86, Ludwigsburg 77. Won. Odds: Ulm 1.55, Ludwigsburg 2.35.
May 23: Ulm 87, Bamberg 96. Lost. No odds on record.
May 18: Bamberg 90, Ulm 87. Lost. No odds on record.
May 16: Bamberg 80, Ulm 74. Lost. No odds on record.

Wurzburg 1-4

Sep 25: Wurzburg 68, Oldenburg 77. Lost. Odds: Wurzburg 1.50, Oldenburg 2.55.
Sep 14: Wurzburg 73, Manchester Basketball 74. Lost. No odds on record.
May 27: Bonn 66, Wurzburg 63. Lost. No odds on record.
May 24: Wurzburg 82, Bonn 70. Won. No odds on record.
May 22: Wurzburg 76, Bonn 80. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ULM moneyline	1.27	moved down 1.25
WUR moneyline	3.40	moved up 3.70
Total points	163.5	moved down 160.5
ULM spread	−7.5	moved down −9

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

BBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Bayern	6	5	1	11	566	422	+144
2	Trier	6	5	1	11	597	524	+73
3	Frankfurt	5	4	1	9	451	423	+28
4	Syntainics MBC	6	4	2	10	507	479	+28
5	Ludwigsburg	7	4	3	11	610	614	−4
6	Wurzburg	6	4	2	10	497	481	+16
7	Bamberg	7	4	3	11	616	594	+22
8	Rostock	7	4	3	11	621	572	+49
9	Bonn	6	3	3	9	512	485	+27
10	Basketball Braunschweig	6	3	3	9	535	567	−32
11	Alba Berlin	6	3	3	9	500	535	−35
12	Ulm	7	3	4	10	573	594	−21
13	Oldenburg	7	3	4	10	521	584	−63
14	Jena	7	2	5	9	536	618	−82
15	Vechta	7	2	5	9	591	636	−45
16	Chemnitz	7	2	5	9	607	621	−14
17	Phoenix Hagen	7	2	5	9	600	633	−33
18	Hamburg	6	1	5	7	479	537	−58

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in
Relegation - Pro A

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Ulm host Wurzburg in the BBL on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.