Ulm vs Phoenix Hagen Prediction & Odds

German Cup Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start14:00ET

UlmHome · 2-1 · 1st · 1.22

9823221736

Phoenix HagenAway · 3.60

10724212438

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Ulm 23 22 17 36

Phoenix Hagen 24 21 24 38

FT Ratiopharm Arena · GermanyRatiopharm Arena

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 1.22 64%

Ulm to win edge −10.1%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 1.22 Ulm to win Confidence64% model 64.1% · market 74.2% edge −10.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.22 64.1% 74.2% −10.1% 64% Lost

Total points O162.5 1.37 81.3% 71.6% +9.7% 81% Won

Point spread PHO +16.5 1.25 75.0% 73.2% +1.8% 75% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ulm9892

Phoenix Hagen10787

Total 179 actual 205

Winning margin ULM by 5 actual PHO by 9

Chance to win ULM 64% PHO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ulm9892

Phoenix Hagen10787

Total 179 Margin ULM by 5 Win ULM 64% Actual 205 · PHO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Ulm large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Phoenix Hagen

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Ulm vs Phoenix Hagen

Ulm Phoenix Hagen

Last 13 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Ulm 2-3

Oct 14: Ulm 102, KK Bosna 93. Won. Odds: Ulm 1.36, KK Bosna 2.75.
Oct 10: Vechta 97, Ulm 92. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Vechta 2.31, Ulm 1.59.
Oct 7: Manresa 101, Ulm 89. Lost. Odds: Manresa 1.40, Ulm 2.80.
Oct 3: Syntainics MBC 89, Ulm 72. Lost. Odds: Syntainics MBC 2.18, Ulm 1.65.
Sep 30: Ulm 98, Balkan 84. Won. Odds: Ulm 1.13, Balkan 5.76.

Phoenix Hagen 1-4

Oct 10: Oldenburg 78, Phoenix Hagen 87. Won. Odds: Oldenburg 1.25, Phoenix Hagen 3.76.
Oct 4: Phoenix Hagen 88, Frankfurt 93. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Hagen 2.03, Frankfurt 1.76.
Sep 27: Chemnitz 94, Phoenix Hagen 93. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Chemnitz 1.19, Phoenix Hagen 4.49.
Sep 25: Phoenix Hagen 78, Ulm 93. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Hagen 2.60, Ulm 1.47.
Sep 19: Rostock 102, Phoenix Hagen 92. Lost. Odds: Rostock 1.17, Phoenix Hagen 4.50.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ULM moneyline	1.24	moved down 1.22
PHO moneyline	3.75	moved down 3.60
Total points	172.5	moved down 171.5
ULM spread	−8.5	−8.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

German Cup standings

Regular Season · Group C

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Ulm	3	2	1	5	237	221	+16
2	Ludwigsburg	3	2	1	5	249	231	+18
3	Bamberg	3	2	1	5	235	232	+3
4	s.Oliver Wurzburg	3	0	3	3	210	247	−37

Playoffs: Semi-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Ulm host Phoenix Hagen in the German Cup on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.