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Ulm vs Balkan prediction

EuroCup Wednesday, September 30, 2026Wed, Sep 30 Start13:00ET Round 1
UlmHome · 3-2 · 2nd · Moneyline odds up 1.13
981st quarter 312nd quarter 233rd quarter 214th quarter 23
BalkanAway · 0-5 · 8th · Moneyline odds down 5.76
841st quarter 172nd quarter 223rd quarter 204th quarter 25
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Ulm 31 23 21 23
Balkan 17 22 20 25
FT Ratiopharm ArenaRatiopharm Arena · Round 1
Best tip of the game
Point spread Won
BAL +15.5 1.80 60% confidence
Balkan +15.5 on the spread edge +23.9%
Best tip of the game Point spread · Won BAL +15.5 1.80 Balkan +15.5 on the spread Confidence60% model 73.9% · market 50.0% edge +23.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 2 odds down 6.24 47.1% 10.5% +36.6% 51% Lost
Total points U169.5 1.83 52.5% 50.0% +2.5% 53% Lost
Point spread BAL +15.5 1.80 73.9% 50.0% +23.9% 60% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Ulm9879
Balkan8489
Total 168 actual 182
Winning margin BAL by 10 actual ULM by 14
Chance to win BAL 70% ULM won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Ulm9879
Balkan8489

Total 168 Margin BAL by 10 Win BAL 70% Actual 182 · ULM won

Ulm host Balkan in the EuroCup on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.