Ulm vs Balkan prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin BAL by 10 Win BAL 70% Actual 182 · ULM won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Ulm vs Balkan
Last 13 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Ulm at home, last 6 games · Balkan away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Sep 27: Ulm 67, Wurzburg 90. Lost. Odds: Ulm 1.25, Wurzburg 3.70.
- Sep 25: Phoenix Hagen 78, Ulm 93. Won. Odds: Phoenix Hagen 2.60, Ulm 1.47.
- Sep 20: Ulm 86, Ludwigsburg 77. Won. Odds: Ulm 1.55, Ludwigsburg 2.35.
- May 23: Ulm 87, Bamberg 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 18: Bamberg 90, Ulm 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 5: Balkan 81, Lok. Plovdiv 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 1: Lok. Plovdiv 84, Balkan 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 30: Lok. Plovdiv 82, Balkan 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 27: Balkan 94, Lok. Plovdiv 89. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- May 25: Balkan 88, Lok. Plovdiv 73. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Balkan dropped from 9.50 to 5.76 since they were first published.
- 2nd vs 8th in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ULM moneyline | 1.03 | moved up 1.13 |
| BAL moneyline | 9.50 | moved down 5.76 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved down 168.5 |
| ULM spread | −15.5 | moved up −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group D
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 453 | 393 | +60 | |
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 433 | +20 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 451 | 435 | +16 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 422 | 407 | +15 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 389 | 393 | −4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 408 | 409 | −1 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 407 | 440 | −33 | |
| 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 335 | 408 | −73 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ulm host Balkan in the EuroCup on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.