Ukmerges Stekas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 prediction
Ukmerges Stekas
25
31
30
22
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
23
20
28
16
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Ukmerges Stekas10885Zalgiris Kaunas 28789Ukmerges Stekas10885Zalgiris Kaunas 28789Total 174 Margin ZK2 by 4 Win ZK2 59% Actual 195 · UKM won
Ukmerges Stekas
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Ukmerges Stekas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Ukmerges Stekas
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions
Ukmerges Stekas at home, last 5 games · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ukmerges Stekas 0, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 2.
- Average total 167.5 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZK2 by 7 Jan 3, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 3, 2026 NKL Ukmerges Stekas 64–71 Zalgiris Kaunas 2 135 pts
- Oct 30, 2025 NKL Zalgiris Kaunas 2 116–84 Ukmerges Stekas 200 pts
Last five games
Ukmerges Stekas
1-4 - Oct 3: Silute 80, Ukmerges Stekas 72. Lost. Odds: Silute 1.30, Ukmerges Stekas 3.25.
- Oct 1: Ukmerges Stekas 89, Vytis VDU 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.65, Vytis VDU 2.05.
- Mar 14: Ukmerges Stekas 103, Kretinga 107. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: Alytaus Alytus 101, Ukmerges Stekas 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: BC Olimpas Palanga 94, Ukmerges Stekas 97. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
3-2 - Oct 1: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 107, Vilkaviskis 104. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.91, Vilkaviskis 1.70.
- Sep 28: Alytaus Patriotai 83, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 108. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: Neptunas 2 89, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 3: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 75, Neptunas 2 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Neptunas 2 93, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 103. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Ukmerges Stekas coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Ukmerges Stekas dropped from 3.25 to 2.72 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Zalgiris Kaunas 2, 4 for Ukmerges Stekas.
- Net rating difference of 7.1 — Ukmerges Stekas −12.6 per 100 possessions, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 −5.5.
- 14th vs 11th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UKM moneyline | 3.25 | moved down 2.72 |
| ZK2 moneyline | 1.28 | moved up 1.38 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved down 166.5 |
| UKM spread | +6.5 | moved down +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai |
10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 |
| 2 |  Jurbarkas |
9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga |
10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 |
| 4 |  Neptunas 2 |
9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 |
| 5 |  Omega-Tauras |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 |
| 6 |  Silute |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 |
| 7 |  Plunges Olimpas |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 |
| 8 |  Suduva-Mantinga |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 |
| 9 |  Alytaus Patriotai |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 |
| 10 |  Vytis VDU |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 |
| 11 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 |  Vilkaviskis |
9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 |
| 14 | Ukmerges Stekas |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 |
| 15 |  Kretinga |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 |
| 16 |  Mazeikiai |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 |
| 17 |  Rytas 2 |
10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 |
| 18 |  Kauno Atletas |
9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ukmerges Stekas host Zalgiris Kaunas 2 in the NKL on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.