Ukmerges Stekas vs Vytis VDU prediction
Ukmerges Stekas
25
21
17
17
9
Vytis VDU
22
17
23
18
10
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Ukmerges Stekas8985Vytis VDU9091Ukmerges Stekas8985Vytis VDU9091Total 176 Margin VYT by 6 Win VYT 66% Actual 179 · VYT won
Ukmerges Stekas
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Vytis VDU
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Ukmerges Stekas vs Vytis VDU
Ukmerges Stekas
Vytis VDU
Last 9 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ukmerges Stekas 0, Vytis VDU 2.
- Average total 164.0 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 2 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting VYT by 5 Dec 11, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 11, 2025 NKL Ukmerges Stekas 88–93 Vytis VDU 181 pts
- Oct 9, 2025 NKL Vytis VDU 81–66 Ukmerges Stekas 147 pts
Last five games
Ukmerges Stekas
1-4 - Mar 14: Ukmerges Stekas 103, Kretinga 107. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: Alytaus Alytus 101, Ukmerges Stekas 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: BC Olimpas Palanga 94, Ukmerges Stekas 97. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 5: Ukmerges Stekas 83, Omega-Tauras 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 3: Ukmerges Stekas 79, Jurbarkas 87. Lost. No odds on record.
Vytis VDU
3-2 - Apr 28: Vytis VDU 86, Vilkaviskis 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Vilkaviskis 78, Vytis VDU 87. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Vytis VDU 101, Vilkaviskis 91. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Vytis VDU 83, Neptunas 2 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 15: Neptunas 2 89, Vytis VDU 83. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Vytis VDU coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Ukmerges Stekas dropped from 4.20 to 1.65 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 14.1 — Ukmerges Stekas −12.6 per 100 possessions, Vytis VDU +1.5.
- 1-4 in the last five for Ukmerges Stekas.
- 14th vs 10th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UKM moneyline | 4.20 | moved down 1.65 |
| VYT moneyline | 1.17 | moved up 2.05 |
| Total points · regulation | 171.5 | moved down 170.5 |
| UKM spread · regulation | +1.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai |
10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 |
| 2 |  Jurbarkas |
9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga |
10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 |
| 4 |  Neptunas 2 |
9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 |
| 5 |  Omega-Tauras |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 |
| 6 |  Silute |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 |
| 7 |  Plunges Olimpas |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 |
| 8 |  Suduva-Mantinga |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 |
| 9 |  Alytaus Patriotai |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 |
| 10 | Vytis VDU |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 |
| 11 |  Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 |  Vilkaviskis |
9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 |
| 14 | Ukmerges Stekas |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 |
| 15 |  Kretinga |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 |
| 16 |  Mazeikiai |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 |
| 17 |  Rytas 2 |
10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 |
| 18 |  Kauno Atletas |
9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ukmerges Stekas host Vytis VDU in the NKL on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.