Ukmerges Stekas vs Omega-Tauras prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 179 Margin UKM by 1 Win UKM 52% Actual 160 · OME won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Ukmerges Stekas vs Omega-Tauras
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Ukmerges Stekas at home, last 5 games · Omega-Tauras away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ukmerges Stekas 1, Omega-Tauras 2.
- Average total 171.0 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OME by 4 Mar 5, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 5, 2026 NKL Ukmerges Stekas 83–87 Omega-Tauras 170 pts
- Jan 24, 2026 NKL Omega-Tauras 85–90 Ukmerges Stekas 175 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 NKL Ukmerges Stekas 74–94 Omega-Tauras 168 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Kretinga 95, Ukmerges Stekas 99. Won. Odds: Kretinga 1.93, Ukmerges Stekas 1.75.
- Oct 8: Ukmerges Stekas 108, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 87. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.72, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.38.
- Oct 3: Silute 80, Ukmerges Stekas 72. Lost. Odds: Silute 1.30, Ukmerges Stekas 3.25.
- Oct 1: Ukmerges Stekas 89, Vytis VDU 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.65, Vytis VDU 2.05.
- Mar 14: Ukmerges Stekas 103, Kretinga 107. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Omega-Tauras 82, Plunges Olimpas 93. Lost. Odds: Omega-Tauras 1.35, Plunges Olimpas 2.94.
- Oct 8: Rytas 2 91, Omega-Tauras 99. Won. Odds: Rytas 2 2.15, Omega-Tauras 1.60.
- Oct 3: Neptunas 2 72, Omega-Tauras 76. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2 1.54, Omega-Tauras 2.35.
- Sep 30: Omega-Tauras 127, Kedainiai BC 89. Won. Odds: Omega-Tauras 1.53, Kedainiai BC 2.27.
- Mar 14: Plunges Olimpas 98, Omega-Tauras 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-1 away for Omega-Tauras this season.
- Over/under moved up from 168.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 16.9 — Ukmerges Stekas −12.6 per 100 possessions, Omega-Tauras +4.3.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Omega-Tauras.
- 171.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 173.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UKM moneyline | 2.10 | moved down 1.91 |
| OME moneyline | 1.62 | moved up 1.75 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved up 173.5 |
| UKM spread | +2.5 | moved down +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ukmerges Stekas host Omega-Tauras in the NKL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.