Ukmerges Stekas vs Neptunas 2 prediction
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Ukmerges Stekas
Neptunas 2Ukmerges StekasNeptunas 2Total Margin Win
Ukmerges Stekas
Neptunas 2
Rebounds
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Shooting
Ukmerges Stekas vs Neptunas 2
Ukmerges Stekas
Neptunas 2
Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions
Ukmerges Stekas at home, last 5 games · Neptunas 2 away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ukmerges Stekas 1, Neptunas 2 2.
- Average total 164.3 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NEP by 7 Feb 19, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 19, 2026 NKL Neptunas 2 77–70 Ukmerges Stekas 147 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 NKL Neptunas 2 92–93 OT Ukmerges Stekas 185 pts · OT
- Oct 11, 2025 NKL Ukmerges Stekas 70–91 Neptunas 2 161 pts
Last five games
Ukmerges Stekas
1-4 - Oct 29: Kedainiai BC 97, Ukmerges Stekas 76. Lost. Odds: Kedainiai BC 2.02, Ukmerges Stekas 1.65.
- Oct 24: Ukmerges Stekas 74, Mazeikiai 70. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.25, Mazeikiai 1.57.
- Oct 22: Telsiai 104, Ukmerges Stekas 70. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.10, Ukmerges Stekas 4.55.
- Oct 17: Ukmerges Stekas 76, BC Olimpas Palanga 107. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.75, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.40.
- Oct 15: Ukmerges Stekas 73, Omega-Tauras 87. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.91, Omega-Tauras 1.75.
Neptunas 2
4-1 - Oct 29: Neptunas 2 59, Plunges Olimpas 57. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2 1.50, Plunges Olimpas 2.20.
- Oct 24: Rytas 2 62, Neptunas 2 74. Won. Odds: Rytas 2 3.25, Neptunas 2 1.30.
- Oct 22: Neptunas 2 78, BC Olimpas Palanga 77. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2 2.60, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.36.
- Oct 17: Mazeikiai 77, Neptunas 2 90. Won. Odds: Mazeikiai 1.95, Neptunas 2 1.74.
- Oct 15: Neptunas 2 72, Telsiai 85. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 2 2.35, Telsiai 1.50.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Neptunas 2 coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 16.5 — Ukmerges Stekas −12.6 per 100 possessions, Neptunas 2 +3.9.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Neptunas 2.
- 1-4 in the last five for Ukmerges Stekas.
- 164.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 160.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UKM moneyline | 2.29 | moved up 2.30 |
| NEP moneyline | 1.50 | moved up 1.55 |
| Total points | 160.5 | 160.5 |
| UKM spread | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai |
10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 |
| 2 |  Jurbarkas |
9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga |
10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 |
| 4 | Neptunas 2 |
9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 |
| 5 |  Omega-Tauras |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 |
| 6 |  Silute |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 |
| 7 |  Plunges Olimpas |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 |
| 8 |  Suduva-Mantinga |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 |
| 9 |  Alytaus Patriotai |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 |
| 10 |  Vytis VDU |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 |
| 11 |  Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 |  Vilkaviskis |
9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 |
| 14 | Ukmerges Stekas |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 |
| 15 |  Kretinga |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 |
| 16 |  Mazeikiai |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 |
| 17 |  Rytas 2 |
10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 |
| 18 |  Kauno Atletas |
9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ukmerges Stekas host Neptunas 2 in the NKL on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.