Ukmerges Stekas vs Mazeikiai Prediction & Odds

NKL Saturday, October 24, 2026Sat, Oct 24 Start09:00ET Round 8

Ukmerges StekasHome · 3-6 · 14th · 2.25

7414171825

MazeikiaiAway · 2-8 · 16th · 1.57

7019171717

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Ukmerges Stekas 14 17 18 25

Mazeikiai 19 17 17 17

FT Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla · LithuaniaUkmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla · Round 8

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

UKM +2.5 1.83 53%

Ukmerges Stekas +2.5 on the spread edge −0.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won UKM +2.5 1.83 Ukmerges Stekas +2.5 on the spread Confidence53% model 51.1% · market 51.2% edge −0.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 52%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.25 44.7% 43.3% +1.4% 51% Won

Total points U168.5 1.85 49.2% 49.0% +0.2% 51% Won

Point spread UKM +2.5 1.83 51.1% 51.2% −0.1% 53% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ukmerges Stekas7485

Mazeikiai7081

Total 166 actual 144

Winning margin UKM by 4 actual UKM by 4

Chance to win UKM 60% UKM won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ukmerges Stekas7485

Mazeikiai7081

Total 166 Margin UKM by 4 Win UKM 60% Actual 144 · UKM won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Ukmerges Stekas large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Mazeikiai

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Ukmerges Stekas vs Mazeikiai

Ukmerges Stekas Mazeikiai

Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Ukmerges Stekas 2-3

Oct 22: Telsiai 104, Ukmerges Stekas 70. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.10, Ukmerges Stekas 4.55.
Oct 17: Ukmerges Stekas 76, BC Olimpas Palanga 107. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.75, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.40.
Oct 15: Ukmerges Stekas 73, Omega-Tauras 87. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.91, Omega-Tauras 1.75.
Oct 10: Kretinga 95, Ukmerges Stekas 99. Won. Odds: Kretinga 1.93, Ukmerges Stekas 1.75.
Oct 8: Ukmerges Stekas 108, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 87. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.72, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.38.

Mazeikiai 0-5

Oct 22: Mazeikiai 72, Plunges Olimpas 80. Lost. Odds: Mazeikiai 2.00, Plunges Olimpas 1.65.
Oct 17: Mazeikiai 77, Neptunas 2 90. Lost. Odds: Mazeikiai 1.95, Neptunas 2 1.74.
Oct 15: Kedainiai BC 92, Mazeikiai 85. Lost. Odds: Kedainiai BC 1.80, Mazeikiai 1.87.
Oct 10: Mazeikiai 62, Jurbarkas 91. Lost. Odds: Mazeikiai 2.95, Jurbarkas 1.33.
Oct 8: Telsiai 83, Mazeikiai 72. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.21, Mazeikiai 3.75.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
UKM moneyline	2.00	moved up 2.25
MAZ moneyline	1.71	moved down 1.57
Total points	168.5	moved up 169.5
UKM spread	+1.5	moved up +2.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NKL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	20	882	725	+157
2	Jurbarkas	9	8	1	17	793	667	+126
3	BC Olimpas Palanga	10	8	2	18	930	806	+124
4	Neptunas 2	9	6	3	15	693	668	+25
5	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	16	870	824	+46
6	Silute	8	6	2	14	667	619	+48
7	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	16	814	781	+33
8	Suduva-Mantinga	8	6	2	14	752	627	+125
9	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	15	861	882	−21
10	Vytis VDU	7	4	3	11	658	648	+10
11	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	10	4	6	14	957	971	−14
12	Kedainiai BC	10	4	6	14	768	838	−70
13	Vilkaviskis	9	4	5	13	733	762	−29
14	Ukmerges Stekas	9	3	6	12	737	817	−80
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	12	797	881	−84
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	12	765	865	−100
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	10	751	873	−122
18	Kauno Atletas	9	0	9	9	696	870	−174

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Ukmerges Stekas host Mazeikiai in the NKL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.