Ukmerges Stekas vs BC Olimpas Palanga prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 175 Margin BOP by 3 Win BOP 58% Actual 183 · BOP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Ukmerges Stekas vs BC Olimpas Palanga
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Ukmerges Stekas at home, last 5 games · BC Olimpas Palanga away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ukmerges Stekas 1, BC Olimpas Palanga 2.
- Average total 168.7 points per meeting
- Over 172.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting UKM by 3 Mar 7, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 7, 2026 NKL BC Olimpas Palanga 94–97 OT Ukmerges Stekas 191 pts · OT
- Dec 6, 2025 NKL BC Olimpas Palanga 80–79 Ukmerges Stekas 159 pts
- Nov 13, 2025 NKL Ukmerges Stekas 74–82 BC Olimpas Palanga 156 pts
Last five games
- Oct 15: Ukmerges Stekas 73, Omega-Tauras 87. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.91, Omega-Tauras 1.75.
- Oct 10: Kretinga 95, Ukmerges Stekas 99. Won. Odds: Kretinga 1.93, Ukmerges Stekas 1.75.
- Oct 8: Ukmerges Stekas 108, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 87. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.72, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.38.
- Oct 3: Silute 80, Ukmerges Stekas 72. Lost. Odds: Silute 1.30, Ukmerges Stekas 3.25.
- Oct 1: Ukmerges Stekas 89, Vytis VDU 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.65, Vytis VDU 2.05.
- Oct 15: BC Olimpas Palanga 102, Plunges Olimpas 76. Won. Odds: BC Olimpas Palanga 1.27, Plunges Olimpas 3.30.
- Oct 10: Rytas 2 81, BC Olimpas Palanga 103. Won. Odds: Rytas 2 2.90, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.36.
- Oct 8: Jurbarkas 88, BC Olimpas Palanga 78. Lost. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.50, BC Olimpas Palanga 2.37.
- Oct 3: Kedainiai BC 75, BC Olimpas Palanga 94. Won. Odds: Kedainiai BC 2.85, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.38.
- Oct 1: BC Olimpas Palanga 86, Mazeikiai 70. Won. Odds: BC Olimpas Palanga 1.48, Mazeikiai 2.40.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Ukmerges Stekas dropped from 3.25 to 2.75 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 164.5 to 172.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 27.5 — Ukmerges Stekas −12.6 per 100 possessions, BC Olimpas Palanga +14.9.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for BC Olimpas Palanga.
- −6.3 points away — BC Olimpas Palanga averaged 96.8 at home and 90.5 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UKM moneyline | 3.25 | moved down 2.75 |
| BOP moneyline | 1.28 | moved up 1.40 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 172.5 |
| UKM spread | +6.5 | moved up +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ukmerges Stekas host BC Olimpas Palanga in the NKL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.