Tromso vs Baerum prediction
Tromso
34
32
27
22
Baerum
24
19
19
13
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tromso11579Baerum7599Tromso11579Baerum7599Total 178 Margin BAE by 20 Win BAE 85% Actual 190 · TRO won
Tromso vs Baerum
Tromso
Baerum
Last five games
Tromso
0-3 - Sep 27: Gimle 103, Tromso 60. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: Fyllingen 110, Tromso 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 18: Tromso 74, Froya 100. Lost. Odds: Tromso 3.40, Froya 1.27.
Baerum
1-4 - Sep 29: Baerum 84, Kongsberg Miners 103. Lost. Odds: Baerum 12.00, Kongsberg Miners 1.01.
- Sep 26: Nidaros Jets 82, Baerum 96. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 20: Baerum 93, Ammerud 103. Lost. Odds: Baerum 2.95, Ammerud 1.35.
- Mar 16: Baerum 67, Kongsberg Miners 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: Kongsberg Miners 89, Baerum 79. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Tromso coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Tromso, 3 for Baerum.
- −15.3 points away — Baerum averaged 94.8 at home and 79.5 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Baerum.
- 6th vs 7th in the BLNO standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TRO moneyline | 2.22 | moved down 2.17 |
| BAE moneyline | 1.56 | moved up 1.61 |
| Total points | 173.5 | 173.5 |
| TRO spread | +3.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BLNO standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gimle |
9 | 9 | 0 | 1.000 | 863 | 671 | +192 |
| 2 |  Ammerud |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 797 | 699 | +98 |
| 3 |  Kongsberg Miners |
7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 682 | 530 | +152 |
| 4 |  Froya |
7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 656 | 509 | +147 |
| 5 |  Fyllingen |
7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 758 | 573 | +185 |
| 6 | Tromso |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 875 | 839 | +36 |
| 7 | Baerum |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 775 | 908 | −133 |
| 8 |  Centrum Tigers |
7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 545 | 619 | −74 |
| 9 |  Nidaros Jets |
11 | 1 | 10 | .091 | 789 | 1134 | −345 |
| 10 |  TNT Towers |
8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 609 | 867 | −258 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tromso host Baerum in the BLNO on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.