Trieste vs Venezia prediction
Trieste
15
27
20
20
Venezia
21
18
20
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Trieste8289Venezia8779Trieste8289Venezia8779Total 168 Margin TRI by 10 Win TRI 76% Actual 169 · VEN won
Trieste
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Venezia
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Trieste vs Venezia
Trieste
Venezia
Last 5 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Trieste 0, Venezia 2.
- Average total 165.0 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VEN by 6 Mar 22, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 22, 2026 Lega A Trieste 78–84 Venezia 162 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 Lega A Venezia 102–66 Trieste 168 pts
Last five games
Trieste
1-4 - Sep 27: Olimpia Milano 83, Trieste 79. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.06, Trieste 8.19.
- May 25: Brescia 90, Trieste 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Trieste 83, Brescia 77. Won. No odds on record.
- May 21: Trieste 80, Brescia 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 18: Brescia 90, Trieste 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Venezia
3-2 - Sep 29: Venezia 104, Frankfurt 72. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.16, Frankfurt 5.08.
- Sep 26: Venezia 85, Cantu 73. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.20, Cantu 4.32.
- Sep 20: Venezia 87, Olimpia Milano 94. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Venezia 3.50, Olimpia Milano 1.25.
- Sep 19: Tortona 90, Venezia 98. Won. Odds: Tortona 1.72, Venezia 2.05.
- Jun 18: Venezia 72, Olimpia Milano 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Venezia dropped from 1.78 to 1.42 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Trieste, 4 for Venezia.
- Net rating difference of 6.1 — Trieste +5.5 per 100 possessions, Venezia −0.6.
- 1-4 in the last five for Trieste.
- 11th vs 9th in the Lega A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TRI moneyline | 1.94 | moved up 2.77 |
| VEN moneyline | 1.78 | moved down 1.42 |
| Total points | 169.5 | 169.5 |
| TRI spread | +2.5 | moved up +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Lega A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Bologna |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 487 | 421 | +66 |
| 2 |  Basket Napoli |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 565 | 517 | +48 |
| 3 |  Treviso |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 559 | 533 | +26 |
| 4 |  Maxima Roma |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 518 | 499 | +19 |
| 5 |  Varese |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 533 | 529 | +4 |
| 6 |  Olimpia Milano |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 411 | +42 |
| 7 |  Trento |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 477 | 497 | −20 |
| 8 |  Verona |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 538 | 543 | −5 |
| 9 | Venezia |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 532 | 542 | −10 |
| 10 |  Udine |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 481 | +4 |
| 11 | Trieste |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 426 | +19 |
| 12 |  BC Roma |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 601 | 579 | +22 |
| 13 |  Reggiana |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 494 | 503 | −9 |
| 14 |  Tortona |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 499 | 561 | −62 |
| 15 |  Scafati |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 482 | 553 | −71 |
| 16 |  Cantu |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 369 | 442 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Trieste host Venezia in the Lega A on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.