Trieste vs Cantu prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin TRI by 6 Win TRI 69% Actual 164 · TRI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Trieste vs Cantu
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Trieste 1, Cantu 1.
- Average total 168.0 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CAN by 21 Mar 29, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 29, 2026 Lega A Cantu 97–76 Trieste 173 pts
- Jan 11, 2026 Lega A Trieste 84–79 Cantu 163 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Varese 85, Trieste 84. Lost. Odds: Varese 1.32, Trieste 3.04.
- Oct 4: Trieste 82, Venezia 87. Lost. Odds: Trieste 2.77, Venezia 1.42.
- Sep 27: Olimpia Milano 83, Trieste 79. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.06, Trieste 8.19.
- May 25: Brescia 90, Trieste 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Trieste 83, Brescia 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 11: Cantu 80, Basket Napoli 99. Lost. Odds: Cantu 2.73, Basket Napoli 1.43.
- Oct 5: Cantu 84, Udine 85. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Cantu 1.60, Udine 2.27.
- Sep 26: Venezia 85, Cantu 73. Lost. Odds: Venezia 1.20, Cantu 4.32.
- May 3: Cantu 72, Treviso 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Udine 95, Cantu 83. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Cantu coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for Trieste coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 25.2 — Trieste +5.5 per 100 possessions, Cantu −19.7.
- 11th vs 16th in the Lega A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TRI moneyline | 1.47 | moved down 1.42 |
| CAN moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 2.60 |
| Total points | 167.5 | 167.5 |
| TRI spread | −4.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Lega A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 487 | 421 | +66 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 565 | 517 | +48 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 559 | 533 | +26 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 518 | 499 | +19 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 533 | 529 | +4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 411 | +42 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 477 | 497 | −20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 538 | 543 | −5 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 532 | 542 | −10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 481 | +4 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 426 | +19 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 601 | 579 | +22 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 494 | 503 | −9 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 499 | 561 | −62 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 482 | 553 | −71 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 369 | 442 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Trieste host Cantu in the Lega A on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.