Trier vs Bonn prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin BON by 4 Win BON 63% Actual 186 · TRI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Trier vs Bonn
Last 11 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Trier at home, last 5 games · Bonn away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Trier 2, Bonn 1.
- Average total 192.0 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BON by 25 May 8, 2026
Meetings
- May 8, 2026 BBL Bonn 102–77 Trier 179 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 BBL Trier 102–98 OT Bonn 200 pts · OT
- Oct 17, 2025 German Cup Trier 107–90 Bonn 197 pts
Last five games
- Sep 19: Basketball Braunschweig 116, Trier 107. Lost. Odds: Basketball Braunschweig 4.20, Trier 1.19.
- May 23: Trier 62, Bayern 99. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 19: Bayern 92, Trier 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Bayern 101, Trier 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 14: Trier 76, Rostock 69. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 19: Bonn 96, Hamburg 72. Won. Odds: Bonn 1.17, Hamburg 4.50.
- Jun 4: Bonn 57, Bayern 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 1: Bayern 91, Bonn 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 30: Bayern 83, Bonn 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 27: Bonn 66, Wurzburg 63. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Trier coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Trier dropped from 2.85 to 1.75 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.9 — Trier +16.0 per 100 possessions, Bonn +7.1.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Trier.
- 192.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 178.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TRI moneyline | 2.85 | moved down 1.75 |
| BON moneyline | 1.39 | moved up 2.05 |
| Total points | 179.5 | moved down 178.5 |
| TRI spread | +5.5 | moved down −1 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 566 | 422 | +144 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 597 | 524 | +73 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 423 | +28 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 507 | 479 | +28 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 610 | 614 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 497 | 481 | +16 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 616 | 594 | +22 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 621 | 572 | +49 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 512 | 485 | +27 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 535 | 567 | −32 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 535 | −35 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 573 | 594 | −21 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 521 | 584 | −63 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 536 | 618 | −82 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 591 | 636 | −45 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 607 | 621 | −14 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 600 | 633 | −33 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 537 | −58 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - Pro A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Trier host Bonn in the BBL on Friday, September 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.