Trier vs Alba Berlin Prediction & Odds

BBL Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start14:00ET Round 5

TrierHome · 5-1 · 2nd · 1.50

9531192619

Alba BerlinAway · 3-3 · 11th · 2.53

7524231513

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Trier 31 19 26 19

Alba Berlin 24 23 15 13

FT Arena Trier · GermanyArena Trier · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.50 51%

Trier to win edge −20.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.50 Trier to win Confidence51% model 42.3% · market 63.0% edge −20.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 51%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.50 42.3% 63.0% −20.7% 51% Won

Total points U182.5 2.28 46.8% 49.8% −3.0% 51% Won

Point spread ALB +4.5 1.72 48.1% 49.7% −1.6% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Trier9590

Alba Berlin7589

Total 179 actual 170

Winning margin TRI by 1 actual TRI by 20

Chance to win TRI 52% TRI won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Trier9590

Alba Berlin7589

Total 179 Margin TRI by 1 Win TRI 52% Actual 170 · TRI won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Trier large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Alba Berlin

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Trier vs Alba Berlin

Trier Alba Berlin

Last 11 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Trier 4-1

Oct 7: Trier 92, Batumi 59. Won. Odds: Trier 1.01, Batumi 17.00.
Oct 4: Ludwigsburg 80, Trier 94. Won. Odds: Ludwigsburg 2.34, Trier 1.57.
Sep 27: Trier 98, Jena 85. Won. Odds: Trier 1.06, Jena 8.03.
Sep 25: Trier 106, Bonn 80. Won. Odds: Trier 1.75, Bonn 2.05.
Sep 19: Basketball Braunschweig 116, Trier 107. Lost. Odds: Basketball Braunschweig 4.20, Trier 1.19.

Alba Berlin 3-2

Oct 7: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 86, Alba Berlin 110. Won. Odds: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 2.30, Alba Berlin 1.57.
Oct 3: Alba Berlin 83, Bamberg 98. Lost. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.31, Bamberg 3.27.
Sep 26: Bayern 95, Alba Berlin 61. Lost. Odds: Bayern 1.14, Alba Berlin 5.38.
Sep 24: Alba Berlin 94, Frankfurt 83. Won. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.15, Frankfurt 5.16.
Sep 18: Alba Berlin 89, Chemnitz 82. Won. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.30, Chemnitz 3.32.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TRI moneyline	1.47	moved up 1.50
ALB moneyline	2.55	moved down 2.53
Total points	182.5	moved up 186.5
TRI spread	−4.5	moved up −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

BBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Bayern	6	5	1	11	566	422	+144
2	Trier	6	5	1	11	597	524	+73
3	Frankfurt	5	4	1	9	451	423	+28
4	Syntainics MBC	6	4	2	10	507	479	+28
5	Ludwigsburg	7	4	3	11	610	614	−4
6	Wurzburg	6	4	2	10	497	481	+16
7	Bamberg	7	4	3	11	616	594	+22
8	Rostock	7	4	3	11	621	572	+49
9	Bonn	6	3	3	9	512	485	+27
10	Basketball Braunschweig	6	3	3	9	535	567	−32
11	Alba Berlin	6	3	3	9	500	535	−35
12	Ulm	7	3	4	10	573	594	−21
13	Oldenburg	7	3	4	10	521	584	−63
14	Jena	7	2	5	9	536	618	−82
15	Vechta	7	2	5	9	591	636	−45
16	Chemnitz	7	2	5	9	607	621	−14
17	Phoenix Hagen	7	2	5	9	600	633	−33
18	Hamburg	6	1	5	7	479	537	−58

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in
Relegation - Pro A

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Trier host Alba Berlin in the BBL on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.