Trepca vs Vellaznimi prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 171 Margin TRE by 7 Win TRE 65% Actual 164 · TRE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Trepca vs Vellaznimi
Last 11 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Trepca at home, last 5 games · Vellaznimi away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Trepca 3, Vellaznimi 1.
- Average total 162.8 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TRE by 4 Mar 7, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 7, 2026 Superliga Trepca 73–69 Vellaznimi 142 pts
- Jan 18, 2026 Superliga Vellaznimi 73–78 Trepca 151 pts
- Dec 7, 2025 Superliga Trepca 83–85 Vellaznimi 168 pts
- Oct 19, 2025 Superliga Vellaznimi 85–105 Trepca 190 pts
Last five games
- Oct 7: Trepca 77, Promitheas 91. Lost. Odds: Trepca 3.76, Promitheas 1.25.
- Oct 3: Bashkimi 84, Trepca 76. Lost. Odds: Bashkimi 1.50, Trepca 2.30.
- Sep 26: Trepca 81, Peja 87. Lost. Odds: Trepca 1.11, Peja 5.20.
- Sep 19: Rahoveci 101, Trepca 106. Won. Odds: Rahoveci 5.25, Trepca 1.11.
- May 20: Bashkimi 78, Trepca 98. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 4: Peja 90, Vellaznimi 99. Won. Odds: Peja 1.15, Vellaznimi 4.50.
- Sep 27: Vellaznimi 71, Sigal Prishtina 83. Lost. Odds: Vellaznimi 1.44, Sigal Prishtina 2.54.
- Sep 19: Bora 90, Vellaznimi 67. Lost. Odds: Bora 1.34, Vellaznimi 2.99.
- Apr 8: Vellaznimi 88, Peja 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Sigal Prishtina 76, Vellaznimi 90. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Trepca coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Vellaznimi, 2 for Trepca.
- Net rating difference of 25.7 — Trepca +12.1 per 100 possessions, Vellaznimi −13.6.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Trepca.
- 162.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TRE moneyline | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| VEL moneyline | 6.00 | moved up 6.60 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| TRE spread | −12.5 | moved down −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Superliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 614 | 516 | +98 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 625 | 560 | +65 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 539 | 485 | +54 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 571 | 597 | −26 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 477 | 515 | −38 | |
| 6 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 525 | 555 | −30 | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 629 | 674 | −45 | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 572 | 650 | −78 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Trepca host Vellaznimi in the Superliga on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
