Trento vs Varese Prediction & Odds

Lega A Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start10:00ET Round 4

TrentoHome · 3-3 · 7th · 1.47

8723262315

VareseAway · 4-2 · 5th · 2.45

8517242123

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Trento 23 26 23 15

Varese 17 24 21 23

FT BLM Group Arena · ItalyBLM Group Arena · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

TRE +5.5 1.22 85%

Trento +5.5 on the spread edge +6.2%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won TRE +5.5 1.22 Trento +5.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 79.9% · market 73.7% edge +6.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.47 66.2% 61.5% +4.7% 76% Won

Total points U175.5 1.44 73.1% 71.2% +1.9% 65% Won

Point spread TRE +5.5 1.22 79.9% 73.7% +6.2% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Trento8785

Varese8580

Total 165 actual 172

Winning margin TRE by 5 actual TRE by 2

Chance to win TRE 66% TRE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Trento8785

Varese8580

Total 165 Margin TRE by 5 Win TRE 66% Actual 172 · TRE won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Trento large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Varese

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Trento vs Varese

Trento Varese

Last 11 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Trento 2-3

Oct 13: Trento 80, Chemnitz 88. Lost. Odds: Trento 1.50, Chemnitz 2.32.
Oct 10: Udine 66, Trento 74. Won. Odds: Udine 1.53, Trento 2.44.
Oct 6: Trento 81, Slask Wroclaw 94. Lost. Odds: Trento 1.12, Slask Wroclaw 5.75.
Oct 3: Trento 90, Treviso 93. Lost. Odds: Trento 1.55, Treviso 2.38.
Sep 29: Neptunas 73, Trento 76. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.96, Trento 1.81.

Varese 2-3

Oct 13: Varese 82, Peristeri 85. Lost. Odds: Varese 1.39, Peristeri 2.62.
Oct 10: Varese 85, Trieste 84. Won. Odds: Varese 1.32, Trieste 3.04.
Oct 7: Murcia 85, Varese 58. Lost. Odds: Murcia 1.12, Varese 5.75.
Oct 4: Scafati 77, Varese 85. Won. Odds: Scafati 1.94, Varese 1.83.
Sep 27: Varese 69, Virtus Bologna 90. Lost. Odds: Varese 2.25, Virtus Bologna 1.60.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TRE moneyline	1.65	moved down 1.47
VAR moneyline	2.11	moved up 2.45
Total points	165.5	moved up 168.5
TRE spread	−2.5	moved down −4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Lega A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Virtus Bologna	5	5	0	1.000	487	421	+66
2	Basket Napoli	6	5	1	.833	565	517	+48
3	Treviso	6	5	1	.833	559	533	+26
4	Maxima Roma	6	4	2	.667	518	499	+19
5	Varese	6	4	2	.667	533	529	+4
6	Olimpia Milano	5	3	2	.600	453	411	+42
7	Trento	6	3	3	.500	477	497	−20
8	Verona	6	3	3	.500	538	543	−5
9	Venezia	6	3	3	.500	532	542	−10
10	Udine	6	3	3	.500	485	481	+4
11	Trieste	5	2	3	.400	445	426	+19
12	BC Roma	6	2	4	.333	601	579	+22
13	Reggiana	6	2	4	.333	494	503	−9
14	Tortona	6	1	5	.167	499	561	−62
15	Scafati	6	1	5	.167	482	553	−71
16	Cantu	5	0	5	.000	369	442	−73

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Trento host Varese in the Lega A on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.