Trento vs Chemnitz prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 51%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin TRE by 4 Win TRE 59% Actual 168 · CHE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Trento vs Chemnitz
Last 11 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Trento at home, last 6 games · Chemnitz away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Trento 0, Chemnitz 2.
- Average total 173.5 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CHE by 14 Feb 4, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 4, 2026 EuroCup Chemnitz 81–67 Trento 148 pts
- Nov 18, 2025 EuroCup Trento 94–105 Chemnitz 199 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Udine 66, Trento 74. Won. Odds: Udine 1.53, Trento 2.44.
- Oct 6: Trento 81, Slask Wroclaw 94. Lost. Odds: Trento 1.12, Slask Wroclaw 5.75.
- Oct 3: Trento 90, Treviso 93. Lost. Odds: Trento 1.55, Treviso 2.38.
- Sep 29: Neptunas 73, Trento 76. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.96, Trento 1.81.
- Sep 26: Reggiana 78, Trento 83. Won. Odds: Reggiana 1.50, Trento 2.38.
- Oct 10: Chemnitz 83, Bayern 87. Lost. Odds: Chemnitz 10.50, Bayern 1.03.
- Oct 7: Chemnitz 93, Neptunas 84. Won. Odds: Chemnitz 1.62, Neptunas 2.20.
- Oct 4: Jena 82, Chemnitz 76. Lost. Odds: Jena 2.14, Chemnitz 1.68.
- Sep 29: Tofas 82, Chemnitz 69. Lost. Odds: Tofas 1.21, Chemnitz 4.17.
- Sep 27: Chemnitz 94, Phoenix Hagen 93. After overtime. Won. Odds: Chemnitz 1.19, Phoenix Hagen 4.49.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 172.5 to 170.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.1 — Trento −6.0 per 100 possessions, Chemnitz +7.1.
- 5th vs 2nd in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TRE moneyline | 1.52 | moved down 1.50 |
| CHE moneyline | 2.37 | moved down 2.32 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved down 170.5 |
| TRE spread | −3.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 450 | 411 | +39 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 441 | 390 | +51 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 444 | 403 | +41 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 455 | 441 | +14 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 410 | 437 | −27 | |
| 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 414 | 441 | −27 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 424 | 456 | −32 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 451 | −59 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Trento host Chemnitz in the EuroCup on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.