Trelleborg vs Alvik Prediction & Odds

Superettan Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start10:00ET

TrelleborgHome · 3-3 · 10th · 2.55

8420271819

AlvikAway · 6-2 · 2nd · 1.45

9719301632

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Trelleborg 20 27 18 19

Alvik 19 30 16 32

FT Vastervangshallen · SwedenVastervangshallen

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

O169.5 1.80 54%

Over 169.5 points edge +2.0%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won O169.5 1.80 Over 169.5 points Confidence54% model 52.7% · market 50.7% edge +2.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.55 47.3% 37.4% +9.9% 51% Lost

Total points O169.5 1.80 52.7% 50.7% +2.0% 54% Won

Point spread TRE +4.5 1.85 66.6% 49.3% +17.3% 72% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Trelleborg8487

Alvik9784

Total 171 actual 181

Winning margin TRE by 3 actual ALV by 13

Chance to win TRE 57% ALV won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Trelleborg8487

Alvik9784

Total 171 Margin TRE by 3 Win TRE 57% Actual 181 · ALV won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Trelleborg large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Alvik

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Trelleborg vs Alvik

Trelleborg Alvik

Last 28 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Trelleborg 3-2

Oct 10: Trelleborg 93, Sollentuna 67. Won. Odds: Trelleborg 1.83, Sollentuna 1.83.
Sep 27: Huddinge 84, Trelleborg 86. Won. Odds: Huddinge 1.19, Trelleborg 4.05.
Sep 19: Trelleborg 77, Wetterbygden Stars 87. Lost. Odds: Trelleborg 4.75, Wetterbygden Stars 1.15.
Apr 11: Trelleborg 106, AIK Basket 91. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 29: AIK Basket 92, Trelleborg 71. Lost. No odds on record.

Alvik 2-3

Oct 10: Alvik 77, Fryshuset Basket 93. Lost. Odds: Alvik 1.30, Fryshuset Basket 3.20.
Oct 4: Alvik 90, Eskilstuna 63. Won. Odds: Alvik 1.67, Eskilstuna 2.05.
Sep 27: Alvik 94, AIK Basket 101. Lost. Odds: Alvik 1.34, AIK Basket 2.90.
Sep 19: Alvik 127, Ockelbo 59. Won. Odds: Alvik 1.18, Ockelbo 4.00.
May 6: Alvik 82, Eskilstuna 96. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TRE moneyline	3.40	moved down 2.55
ALV moneyline	1.25	moved up 1.45
Total points	169.5	moved up 170.5
TRE spread	+4.5	+4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Superettan standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Fryshuset Basket	8	6	2	14	725	652	+73
2	Alvik	8	6	2	14	736	598	+138
3	AIK Basket	6	5	1	11	500	426	+74
4	Eskilstuna	8	5	3	13	702	689	+13
5	Wetterbygden Stars	7	5	2	12	616	575	+41
6	Sollentuna	8	4	4	12	679	628	+51
7	Huddinge	8	4	4	12	609	653	−44
8	Norrort	6	4	2	10	536	485	+51
9	IK Eos	5	3	2	8	467	368	+99
10	Trelleborg	6	3	3	9	491	497	−6
11	Ockelbo	8	3	5	11	586	666	−80
12	Djurgarden	6	2	4	8	457	525	−68
13	Malbas	9	0	9	9	623	776	−153
14	Cross Over	7	0	7	7	492	681	−189

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Trelleborg host Alvik in the Superettan on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.