Trefl Sopot vs Szczecin prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin SZC by 1 Win SZC 53% Actual 172 · SZC won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Trefl Sopot vs Szczecin
Last 5 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Trefl Sopot 2, Szczecin 0.
- Average total 169.5 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TRE by 11 Mar 28, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 28, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Szczecin 85–96 Trefl Sopot 181 pts
- Nov 23, 2025 Energa Basket Liga Trefl Sopot 84–74 Szczecin 158 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: Gdynia 96, Trefl Sopot 82. Lost. Odds: Gdynia 1.15, Trefl Sopot 5.00.
- Oct 2: Trefl Sopot 63, Dziki Warszawa 102. Lost. Odds: Trefl Sopot 2.35, Dziki Warszawa 1.50.
- Sep 26: Legia 93, Trefl Sopot 89. Lost. Odds: Legia 1.45, Trefl Sopot 2.62.
- May 21: Dziki Warszawa 88, Trefl Sopot 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 19: Dziki Warszawa 85, Trefl Sopot 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 13: Vienna Basket 96, Szczecin 93. Lost. Odds: Vienna Basket 1.53, Szczecin 1.98.
- Oct 10: Szczecin 69, Slask Wroclaw 82. Lost. Odds: Szczecin 1.60, Slask Wroclaw 1.87.
- Oct 7: Szczecin 88, Nitra Blue Wings 81. Won. Odds: Szczecin 1.05, Nitra Blue Wings 7.25.
- Oct 3: Torun 85, Szczecin 104. Won. Odds: Torun 2.10, Szczecin 1.62.
- May 20: Zielona Gora 86, Szczecin 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Trefl Sopot coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Szczecin dropped from 1.65 to 1.44 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Trefl Sopot, 3 for Szczecin.
- Net rating difference of 27.8 — Trefl Sopot −18.6 per 100 possessions, Szczecin +9.2.
- 16th vs 3rd in the Energa Basket Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TRE moneyline | 2.15 | 2.15 |
| SZC moneyline | 1.65 | moved down 1.44 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved up 170.5 |
| TRE spread | +3.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Energa Basket Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 457 | 412 | +45 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 453 | 372 | +81 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 429 | 388 | +41 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 432 | 432 | 0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 399 | 398 | +1 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 436 | 395 | +41 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 423 | 407 | +16 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 418 | −18 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 422 | +6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 403 | 412 | −9 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 434 | 448 | −14 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 442 | 467 | −25 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 411 | −19 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 375 | 420 | −45 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 391 | 420 | −29 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 395 | 467 | −72 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - 1. Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Trefl Sopot host Szczecin in the Energa Basket Liga on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.