Trefl Sopot vs Dziki Warszawa prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 185 Margin DZI by 1 Win DZI 51% Actual 165 · DZI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Trefl Sopot vs Dziki Warszawa
Last 5 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Trefl Sopot 1, Dziki Warszawa 4.
- Average total 170.0 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DZI by 15 May 21, 2026
Meetings
- May 21, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Dziki Warszawa 88–73 Trefl Sopot 161 pts
- May 19, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Dziki Warszawa 85–78 Trefl Sopot 163 pts
- May 16, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Trefl Sopot 81–78 Dziki Warszawa 159 pts
- May 14, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Trefl Sopot 92–107 Dziki Warszawa 199 pts
- Jan 31, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Trefl Sopot 64–104 Dziki Warszawa 168 pts
Last five games
- Sep 26: Legia 93, Trefl Sopot 89. Lost. Odds: Legia 1.45, Trefl Sopot 2.62.
- May 21: Dziki Warszawa 88, Trefl Sopot 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 19: Dziki Warszawa 85, Trefl Sopot 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Trefl Sopot 81, Dziki Warszawa 78. Won. No odds on record.
- May 14: Trefl Sopot 92, Dziki Warszawa 107. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: Dziki Warszawa 77, Zielona Gora 81. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.42, Zielona Gora 2.60.
- Sep 20: Dziki Warszawa 82, Vechta 93. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 2.30, Vechta 1.55.
- Sep 19: Dziki Warszawa 113, Breogan 110. Won. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 5.50, Breogan 1.11.
- Sep 17: VEF Riga 95, Dziki Warszawa 102. Won. Odds: VEF Riga 2.14, Dziki Warszawa 1.68.
- Sep 14: Opava 99, Dziki Warszawa 116. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Trefl Sopot coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Dziki Warszawa dropped from 1.75 to 1.50 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 27.0 — Trefl Sopot −18.6 per 100 possessions, Dziki Warszawa +8.4.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Dziki Warszawa.
- 170.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 174.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TRE moneyline | 2.00 | moved up 2.35 |
| DZI moneyline | 1.75 | moved down 1.50 |
| Total points | 174.5 | 174.5 |
| TRE spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Energa Basket Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 457 | 412 | +45 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 453 | 372 | +81 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 429 | 388 | +41 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 432 | 432 | 0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 399 | 398 | +1 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 436 | 395 | +41 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 423 | 407 | +16 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 418 | −18 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 422 | +6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 403 | 412 | −9 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 434 | 448 | −14 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 442 | 467 | −25 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 411 | −19 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 375 | 420 | −45 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 391 | 420 | −29 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 395 | 467 | −72 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - 1. Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Trefl Sopot host Dziki Warszawa in the Energa Basket Liga on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.