Townsville vs Sydney Prediction & Odds

NBL Women Sunday, October 25, 2026Sun, Oct 25 Start00:00ET Round 2

TownsvilleHome · 2-2 · 5th · 1.29

7718231224

SydneyAway · 4-1 · 2nd · 3.25

9023242815

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Townsville 18 23 12 24

Sydney 23 24 28 15

FT Townsville Entertainment Centre · AustraliaTownsville Entertainment Centre · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

TOW -2.5 1.50 74%

Townsville −2.5 on the spread edge +0.5%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost TOW -2.5 1.50 Townsville −2.5 on the spread Confidence74% model 73.9% · market 73.4% edge +0.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.29 78.5% 79.6% −1.1% 78% Lost

Total points U171.5 1.42 68.4% 64.9% +3.5% 68% Won

Point spread TOW -2.5 1.50 73.9% 73.4% +0.5% 74% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Townsville7788

Sydney9074

Total 162 actual 167

Winning margin TOW by 14 actual SYD by 13

Chance to win TOW 78% SYD won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Townsville7788

Sydney9074

Total 162 Margin TOW by 14 Win TOW 78% Actual 167 · SYD won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 17+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Townsville large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Sydney

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Townsville vs Sydney

Townsville Sydney

Last 27 and 25 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Townsville 4-1

Oct 20: Adelaide Lightning 68, Townsville 86. Won. Odds: Adelaide Lightning 3.85, Townsville 1.16.
Oct 17: Perth Lynx 86, Townsville 83. Lost. Odds: Perth Lynx 2.70, Townsville 1.27.
Mar 1: Perth Lynx 105, Townsville 108. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Feb 26: Townsville 88, Perth Lynx 79. Won. No odds on record.
Feb 22: Townsville 84, Southside 74. Won. No odds on record.

Sydney 3-2

Oct 23: Sydney 82, Canberra Capitals 70. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.24, Canberra Capitals 3.20.
Oct 17: Sydney 95, Adelaide Lightning 68. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.50, Adelaide Lightning 2.02.
Oct 16: Southside 73, Sydney 77. Won. Odds: Southside 2.38, Sydney 1.45.
Feb 7: Perth Lynx 108, Sydney 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Jan 31: Sydney 76, Geelong Venom 89. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TOW moneyline	1.17	moved up 1.29
SYD moneyline	4.50	moved down 3.25
Total points	164.5	164.5
TOW spread	−9.5	moved up −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBL Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Perth Lynx	2	2	0	1.000	176	165	+11
2	Sydney	5	4	1	.800	429	381	+48
3	Tasmania Jewels	3	2	1	.667	273	266	+7
4	Canberra Capitals	3	2	1	.667	241	242	−1
5	Townsville	4	2	2	.500	337	312	+25
6	Geelong Venom	4	2	2	.500	309	319	−10
7	Adelaide Lightning	4	1	3	.250	299	345	−46
8	Southside	4	1	3	.250	307	309	−2
9	Bendigo	3	0	3	.000	230	262	−32

Playoffs: Semi-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Townsville host Sydney in the NBL Women on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.