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Tortona vs San Pablo Burgos prediction

EuroCup Wednesday, October 21, 2026Wed, Oct 21 Start13:00ET Round 4
TortonaHome · 3-2 · 3rd · Moneyline odds up 1.45
891st quarter 182nd quarter 183rd quarter 224th quarter 31
San Pablo BurgosAway · 1-4 · 6th · Moneyline odds up 2.60
791st quarter 252nd quarter 203rd quarter 174th quarter 17
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tortona 18 18 22 31
San Pablo Burgos 25 20 17 17
FT Cittadella dello SportCittadella dello Sport · Round 4
Best tip of the game
Point spread Won
SPB +11.5 odds up 1.28 68% confidence
San Pablo Burgos +11.5 on the spread edge −5.0%
Best tip of the game Point spread · Won SPB +11.5 odds up 1.28 San Pablo Burgos +11.5 on the spread Confidence68% model 68.0% · market 73.0% edge −5.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 2 odds up 2.60 42.1% 37.0% +5.1% 51% Lost
Total points O155.5 1.29 74.0% 71.6% +2.4% 74% Won
Point spread SPB +11.5 odds up 1.28 68.0% 73.0% −5.0% 68% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Tortona8985
San Pablo Burgos7988
Total 173 actual 168
Winning margin SPB by 3 actual TOR by 10
Chance to win SPB 57% TOR won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Tortona8985
San Pablo Burgos7988

Total 173 Margin SPB by 3 Win SPB 57% Actual 168 · TOR won

Tortona host San Pablo Burgos in the EuroCup on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.