Tortona vs Basket Napoli prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin BAS by 6 Win BAS 70% Actual 182 · BAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tortona vs Basket Napoli
Last 11 games each with full stats · all competitions
Tortona at home, last 6 games · Basket Napoli away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tortona 2, Basket Napoli 0.
- Average total 160.5 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TOR by 6 Jan 24, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 24, 2026 Lega A Basket Napoli 76–82 Tortona 158 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 Lega A Tortona 87–76 Basket Napoli 163 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Tortona 89, San Pablo Burgos 79. Won. Odds: Tortona 1.45, San Pablo Burgos 2.60.
- Oct 18: Tortona 75, Maxima Roma 89. Lost. Odds: Tortona 1.53, Maxima Roma 2.30.
- Oct 14: Aris 88, Tortona 68. Lost. Odds: Aris 1.08, Tortona 7.17.
- Oct 11: Reggiana 93, Tortona 86. Lost. Odds: Reggiana 1.85, Tortona 1.92.
- Oct 7: Tortona 89, Le Mans 83. Won. Odds: Tortona 1.48, Le Mans 2.59.
- Oct 21: Basket Napoli 105, Tofas 101. After overtime. Won. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.23, Tofas 3.90.
- Oct 18: Basket Napoli 82, Olimpia Milano 98. Lost. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.70, Olimpia Milano 1.95.
- Oct 14: Slask Wroclaw 82, Basket Napoli 86. Won. Odds: Slask Wroclaw 3.89, Basket Napoli 1.23.
- Oct 11: Cantu 80, Basket Napoli 99. Won. Odds: Cantu 2.73, Basket Napoli 1.43.
- Oct 6: Buducnost 75, Basket Napoli 93. Won. Odds: Buducnost 1.37, Basket Napoli 2.96.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Tortona dropped from 1.98 to 1.72 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 18.4 — Tortona −8.1 per 100 possessions, Basket Napoli +10.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Basket Napoli.
- 14th vs 2nd in the Lega A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TOR moneyline | 1.98 | moved down 1.72 |
| BAS moneyline | 1.72 | moved up 1.98 |
| Total points | 178.5 | moved down 177.5 |
| TOR spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Lega A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 487 | 421 | +66 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 565 | 517 | +48 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 559 | 533 | +26 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 518 | 499 | +19 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 533 | 529 | +4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 411 | +42 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 477 | 497 | −20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 538 | 543 | −5 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 532 | 542 | −10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 481 | +4 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 426 | +19 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 601 | 579 | +22 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 494 | 503 | −9 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 499 | 561 | −62 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 482 | 553 | −71 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 369 | 442 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tortona host Basket Napoli in the Lega A on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.