Toros del Valle vs Paisas prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 163 Margin TDV by 11 Win TDV 71% Actual 180 · TDV won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Toros del Valle vs Paisas
Last 11 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Toros del Valle at home, last 6 games · Paisas away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Toros del Valle 3, Paisas 2.
- Average total 165.6 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TDV by 4 Oct 16, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 16, 2026 LBP Toros del Valle 78–74 Paisas 152 pts
- Oct 11, 2026 LBP Paisas 92–90 OT Toros del Valle 182 pts · OT
- Oct 10, 2026 LBP Paisas 79–84 Toros del Valle 163 pts
- Jun 7, 2026 LBP Paisas 73–78 Toros del Valle 151 pts
- Jun 6, 2026 LBP Paisas 98–82 Toros del Valle 180 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: Paisas 92, Toros del Valle 90. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Paisas 79, Toros del Valle 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 7: Toros del Valle 89, Sabios Baloncesto 40. Won. Odds: Toros del Valle –, Sabios Baloncesto 11.00.
- Oct 6: Toros del Valle 108, Sabios Baloncesto 59. Won. Odds: Toros del Valle 1.03, Sabios Baloncesto 8.50.
- Oct 3: Caribbean Storm Islands 68, Toros del Valle 88. Won. Odds: Caribbean Storm Islands 14.50, Toros del Valle 1.01.
- Oct 11: Paisas 92, Toros del Valle 90. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Paisas 79, Toros del Valle 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 7: Caribbean Storm Islands 72, Paisas 107. Won. Odds: Caribbean Storm Islands 7.50, Paisas 1.05.
- Oct 6: Caribbean Storm Islands 79, Paisas 90. Won. Odds: Caribbean Storm Islands 9.25, Paisas 1.02.
- Oct 3: Sabios Baloncesto 63, Paisas 84. Won. Odds: Sabios Baloncesto 9.80, Paisas 1.01.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 18-0 at home for Toros del Valle this season.
- Net rating difference of 12.5 — Toros del Valle +32.0 per 100 possessions, Paisas +19.5.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Toros del Valle.
- 4-1 in the last five for Toros del Valle.
- 4-1 in the last five for Paisas.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TDV moneyline | 1.29 | moved up 1.31 |
| PAI moneyline | 3.15 | 3.15 |
| Total points | 160.5 | 160.5 |
| TDV spread | −7.5 | −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LBP standings
Clausura · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 23 | 1062 | 732 | +330 | |
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1041 | 819 | +222 | |
| 3 | Sabios Baloncesto | 12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 689 | 955 | −266 |
| 4 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 803 | 1089 | −286 |
- Clausura - Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Toros del Valle host Paisas in the LBP on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
