Toledo vs Jaen Paraiso prediction
Toledo
23
30
15
25
Jaen Paraiso
22
20
17
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Toledo9381Jaen Paraiso8173Toledo9381Jaen Paraiso8173Total 154 Margin TOL by 8 Win TOL 69% Actual 174 · TOL won
Toledo vs Jaen Paraiso
Toledo
Jaen Paraiso
Last five games
Toledo
2-3 - Oct 25: Moron 90, Toledo 81. Lost. Odds: Moron 1.70, Toledo 1.95.
- Oct 18: Toledo 100, Algeciras 79. Won. Odds: Toledo 1.25, Algeciras 3.57.
- Oct 10: Estudiantes B 78, Toledo 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 4: Toledo 66, Caceres 82. Lost. Odds: Toledo 1.53, Caceres 2.30.
- Apr 18: Toledo 75, Caceres 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Jaen Paraiso
2-2 - Oct 25: Algeciras 71, Jaen Paraiso 66. Lost. Odds: Algeciras 1.80, Jaen Paraiso 1.83.
- Oct 18: Jaen Paraiso 84, Caceres 82. Won. Odds: Jaen Paraiso 2.87, Caceres 1.36.
- Oct 10: Badajoz 89, Jaen Paraiso 85. Lost. Odds: Badajoz 2.00, Jaen Paraiso 1.70.
- Oct 4: Jaen Paraiso 75, CB Getafe 70. Won. Odds: Jaen Paraiso 2.40, CB Getafe 1.48.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Jaen Paraiso dropped from 4.00 to 3.33 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 154.5 to 156.5 since it was first published.
- 4th vs 8th in the Segunda FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TOL moneyline | 1.18 | moved up 1.25 |
| JAE moneyline | 4.00 | moved down 3.33 |
| Total points | 154.5 | moved up 156.5 |
| TOL spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Segunda FEB standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla |
5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 421 | 359 | +62 |
| 2 |  Caceres |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 424 | 378 | +46 |
| 3 | CBC Valladolid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 378 | +50 |
| 4 | Toledo |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 426 | 410 | +16 |
| 5 |  Ponferrada |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 408 | 396 | +12 |
| 6 |  Moron |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 397 | 393 | +4 |
| 7 |  Leonesa |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 329 | +16 |
| 8 | Jaen Paraiso |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 391 | 405 | −14 |
| 9 |  Algeciras |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 398 | 414 | −16 |
| 10 |  Tres Cantos |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 359 | 403 | −44 |
| 11 |  CB Getafe |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 376 | 388 | −12 |
| 12 |  Spanish Basketball Academy |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 383 | 396 | −13 |
| 13 |  Estudiantes B |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 361 | 401 | −40 |
| 14 |  Badajoz |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 362 | −67 |
- Winners Playoffs
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Relegation - Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Toledo host Jaen Paraiso in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.