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Toledo vs Caceres prediction

Segunda FEB Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start06:00ET Round 1
ToledoHome · 3-2 · 4th · Moneyline odds up 1.53
661st quarter 172nd quarter 173rd quarter 184th quarter 14
CaceresAway · 4-1 · 2nd · Moneyline odds down 2.30
821st quarter 202nd quarter 143rd quarter 294th quarter 19
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Toledo 17 17 18 14
Caceres 20 14 29 19
FT Spain Round 1
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Lost
1 odds up 1.53 61% confidence
Toledo to win edge +0.2%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 odds up 1.53 Toledo to win Confidence61% model 61.2% · market 61.0% edge +0.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds up 1.53 61.2% 61.0% +0.2% 61% Lost
Total points U159.5 1.82 60.3% 50.0% +10.3% 61% Won
Point spread TOL -3.5 1.82 52.5% 50.0% +2.5% 53% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Toledo6680
Caceres8275
Total 155 actual 148
Winning margin TOL by 5 actual CAC by 16
Chance to win TOL 61% CAC won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Toledo6680
Caceres8275

Total 155 Margin TOL by 5 Win TOL 61% Actual 148 · CAC won

Toledo host Caceres in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.