Toledo vs Caceres prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 155 Margin TOL by 5 Win TOL 61% Actual 148 · CAC won
Toledo vs Caceres
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Toledo 1, Caceres 1.
- Average total 171.5 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CAC by 2 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 Segunda FEB Toledo 75–77 Caceres 152 pts
- Jan 3, 2026 Segunda FEB Caceres 95–96 OT Toledo 191 pts · OT
Last five games
- Apr 18: Toledo 75, Caceres 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Cordoba 64, Toledo 66. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 5: Toledo 75, Clavijo 70. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Gijon 78, Toledo 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 22: Toledo 74, Moron 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Sant Antoni 93, Caceres 61. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Caceres 72, Sant Antoni 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Toledo 75, Caceres 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Caceres 98, CBC Valladolid 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Caceres 58, Cordoba 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 159.5 to 164.5 since it was first published.
- 4th vs 2nd in the Segunda FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TOL moneyline | 1.50 | moved up 1.53 |
| CAC moneyline | 2.35 | moved down 2.30 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved up 164.5 |
| TOL spread | −3.5 | −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Segunda FEB standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 421 | 359 | +62 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 424 | 378 | +46 | |
| 3 | CBC Valladolid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 378 | +50 |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 426 | 410 | +16 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 408 | 396 | +12 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 397 | 393 | +4 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 329 | +16 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 391 | 405 | −14 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 398 | 414 | −16 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 359 | 403 | −44 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 376 | 388 | −12 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 383 | 396 | −13 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 361 | 401 | −40 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 362 | −67 |
- Winners Playoffs
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Relegation - Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Toledo host Caceres in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.