Toledo vs Algeciras Prediction & Odds

Segunda FEB Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start06:00ET Round 3

ToledoHome · 3-2 · 4th · 1.25

10026192530

AlgecirasAway · 2-3 · 9th · 3.57

7915252217

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Toledo 26 19 25 30

Algeciras 15 25 22 17

FT Spain Round 3

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

ALG +7.5 1.83 59%

Algeciras +7.5 on the spread edge +10.3%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost ALG +7.5 1.83 Algeciras +7.5 on the spread Confidence59% model 60.3% · market 50.0% edge +10.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.25 60.5% 70.5% −10.0% 59% Won

Total points U156.5 1.82 56.4% 50.0% +6.4% 55% Lost

Point spread ALG +7.5 1.83 60.3% 50.0% +10.3% 59% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Toledo10079

Algeciras7975

Total 154 actual 179

Winning margin TOL by 4 actual TOL by 21

Chance to win TOL 61% TOL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Toledo10079

Algeciras7975

Total 154 Margin TOL by 4 Win TOL 61% Actual 179 · TOL won

Last five games

Toledo 3-2

Oct 10: Estudiantes B 78, Toledo 86. Won. No odds on record.
Oct 4: Toledo 66, Caceres 82. Lost. Odds: Toledo 1.53, Caceres 2.30.
Apr 18: Toledo 75, Caceres 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 12: Cordoba 64, Toledo 66. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 5: Toledo 75, Clavijo 70. Won. No odds on record.

Algeciras 1-1

Oct 10: Caceres 86, Algeciras 71. Lost. Odds: Caceres 1.29, Algeciras 3.20.
Oct 3: Algeciras 87, Badajoz 69. Won. Odds: Algeciras 1.55, Badajoz 2.25.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TOL moneyline	1.29	moved down 1.25
ALG moneyline	3.09	moved up 3.57
Total points	156.5	156.5
TOL spread	−7.5	−7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Segunda FEB standings

Regular Season · Group A

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Melilla	5	5	0	10	421	359	+62
2	Caceres	5	4	1	9	424	378	+46
3	CBC Valladolid	5	3	2	8	428	378	+50
4	Toledo	5	3	2	8	426	410	+16
5	Ponferrada	5	3	2	8	408	396	+12
6	Moron	5	3	2	8	397	393	+4
7	Leonesa	4	3	1	7	345	329	+16
8	Jaen Paraiso	5	2	3	7	391	405	−14
9	Algeciras	5	2	3	7	398	414	−16
10	Tres Cantos	5	2	3	7	359	403	−44
11	CB Getafe	5	1	4	6	376	388	−12
12	Spanish Basketball Academy	5	1	4	6	383	396	−13
13	Estudiantes B	5	1	4	6	361	401	−40
14	Badajoz	4	1	3	5	295	362	−67

Winners Playoffs
Promotion - Playoffs
Relegation - Playoffs
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Toledo host Algeciras in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Toledo vs Algeciras prediction

All predictions