Tokyo Sunrockers vs Nagasaki prediction
Tokyo Sunrockers
30
22
18
25
Nagasaki
20
15
17
11
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tokyo Sunrockers9585Nagasaki6378Tokyo Sunrockers9585Nagasaki6378Total 163 Margin TOK by 7 Win TOK 70% Actual 158 · TOK won
Tokyo Sunrockers
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Nagasaki
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Tokyo Sunrockers vs Nagasaki
Tokyo Sunrockers
Nagasaki
Last 13 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions
Tokyo Sunrockers at home, last 8 games · Nagasaki away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Tokyo Sunrockers
3-2 - Oct 11: Tokyo Sunrockers 68, Sendai 70. Lost. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 1.85, Sendai 1.62.
- Oct 9: Tokyo Sunrockers 90, Toyama 96. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 1.14, Toyama 4.50.
- Oct 7: Shiga 85, Tokyo Sunrockers 92. Won. Odds: Shiga 2.02, Tokyo Sunrockers 1.74.
- Oct 4: Tokyo Sunrockers 86, Akita 76. Won. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 1.08, Akita 6.77.
- Oct 3: Tokyo Sunrockers 90, Akita 63. Won. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 1.24, Akita 3.74.
Nagasaki
3-2 - Oct 14: Nagasaki 83, KCC Egis 98. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 1.37, KCC Egis 2.80.
- Oct 12: Nagasaki 85, Kobe 69. Won. Odds: Nagasaki 1.44, Kobe 2.64.
- Oct 10: Nagasaki 70, Gunma 59. Won. Odds: Nagasaki 3.15, Gunma 1.28.
- Oct 8: Nagasaki 74, Shinshu 71. Won. Odds: Nagasaki 1.62, Shinshu 2.15.
- Oct 4: Kyoto 90, Nagasaki 65. Lost. Odds: Kyoto 1.56, Nagasaki 2.30.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Tokyo Sunrockers dropped from 1.67 to 1.37 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Tokyo Sunrockers, 2 for Nagasaki.
- 1-4 away for Nagasaki this season.
- Over/under moved up from 156.5 to 158.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 17.6 — Tokyo Sunrockers +15.0 per 100 possessions, Nagasaki −2.6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TOK moneyline | 1.67 | moved down 1.37 |
| NAG moneyline | 2.07 | moved up 2.32 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved up 158.5 |
| TOK spread | −2.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
B League standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NeoPhoenix |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Shiga |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Osaka |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ryukyu |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Kyoto |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  SeaHorses Mikawa |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Diamond Dolphins |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Shimane |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Shinshu |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Kobe |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Hiroshima D. |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nagasaki |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Saga |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tokyo Sunrockers host Nagasaki in the B League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.