Tokomanawa Queens vs Tauranga Whai prediction
Tokomanawa Queens
23
15
23
18
Tauranga Whai
18
18
27
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tokomanawa Queens7978Tauranga Whai8481Tokomanawa Queens7978Tauranga Whai8481Total 159 Margin TAU by 3 Win TAU 59% Actual 163 · TAU won
Tokomanawa Queens
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tauranga Whai
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tokomanawa Queens vs Tauranga Whai
Tokomanawa Queens
Tauranga Whai
Last 5 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tokomanawa Queens 3, Tauranga Whai 1.
- Average total 160.0 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAU by 6 Dec 5, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 5, 2025 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 76–82 Mid-North Whai 158 pts
- Nov 22, 2025 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 88–82 Mid-North Whai 170 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 Tauihi Women Mid-North Whai 70–80 Tokomanawa Queens 150 pts
- Sep 26, 2025 Tauihi Women Mid-North Whai 78–84 Tokomanawa Queens 162 pts
Last five games
Tokomanawa Queens
1-4 - Oct 11: Southern Hoiho 84, Tokomanawa Queens 81. Lost. Odds: Southern Hoiho 1.70, Tokomanawa Queens 2.00.
- Oct 4: Tokomanawa Queens 77, Mainland Pouakai 114. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.26, Mainland Pouakai 3.40.
- Sep 26: Tokomanawa Queens 69, Northern Kahu 75. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.62, Northern Kahu 2.10.
- Dec 5, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 76, Mid-North Whai 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 29, 2025: Northern Kahu 72, Tokomanawa Queens 88. Won. No odds on record.
Tauranga Whai
4-1 - Oct 9: Mainland Pouakai 78, Tauranga Whai 82. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.36, Tauranga Whai 2.75.
- Oct 2: Mid-North Whai 59, Southern Hoiho 67. Lost. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.20, Southern Hoiho 3.90.
- Sep 25: Mid-North Whai 81, Northern Kahu 60. Won. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.31, Northern Kahu 3.10.
- Dec 13, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 66, Mid-North Whai 93. Won. No odds on record.
- Dec 5, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 76, Mid-North Whai 82. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Tokomanawa Queens coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Tauranga Whai, 4 for Tokomanawa Queens.
- Net rating difference of 13.7 — Tokomanawa Queens −12.9 per 100 possessions, Tauranga Whai +0.8.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Tokomanawa Queens.
- 4-1 in the last five for Tauranga Whai.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TOK moneyline | 2.15 | moved down 1.95 |
| TAU moneyline | 1.64 | moved up 1.75 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| TOK spread | −1.5 | moved up +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 |  Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 | Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 | Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tokomanawa Queens host Tauranga Whai in the Tauihi Women on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.