Tokomanawa Queens vs Southern Hoiho prediction
Tokomanawa Queens
20
20
25
16
Southern Hoiho
23
21
19
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tokomanawa Queens8176Southern Hoiho8284Tokomanawa Queens8176Southern Hoiho8284Total 160 Margin SOU by 8 Win SOU 69% Actual 163 · SOU won
Tokomanawa Queens
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Southern Hoiho
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tokomanawa Queens vs Southern Hoiho
Tokomanawa Queens
Southern Hoiho
Last 5 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tokomanawa Queens 1, Southern Hoiho 3.
- Average total 156.3 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SOU by 3 Oct 11, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 11, 2026 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 84–81 Tokomanawa Queens 165 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 75–68 Tokomanawa Queens 143 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 88–76 Southern Hoiho 164 pts
- Oct 10, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 80–73 Tokomanawa Queens 153 pts
Last five games
Tokomanawa Queens
0-5 - Oct 23: Mainland Pouakai 93, Tokomanawa Queens 90. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.28, Tokomanawa Queens 2.90.
- Oct 16: Tokomanawa Queens 79, Tauranga Whai 84. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.95, Tauranga Whai 1.75.
- Oct 11: Southern Hoiho 84, Tokomanawa Queens 81. Lost. Odds: Southern Hoiho 1.70, Tokomanawa Queens 2.00.
- Oct 4: Tokomanawa Queens 77, Mainland Pouakai 114. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.26, Mainland Pouakai 3.40.
- Sep 26: Tokomanawa Queens 69, Northern Kahu 75. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.62, Northern Kahu 2.10.
Southern Hoiho
5-0 - Oct 30: Southern Hoiho 86, Northern Kahu 69. Won. Odds: Southern Hoiho 1.10, Northern Kahu 4.80.
- Oct 24: Southern Hoiho 79, Tauranga Whai 65. Won. Odds: Southern Hoiho 1.40, Tauranga Whai 2.50.
- Oct 17: Mainland Pouakai 75, Southern Hoiho 82. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.61, Southern Hoiho 2.17.
- Oct 11: Southern Hoiho 84, Tokomanawa Queens 81. Won. Odds: Southern Hoiho 1.70, Tokomanawa Queens 2.00.
- Oct 3: Northern Kahu 66, Southern Hoiho 78. Won. Odds: Northern Kahu 1.72, Southern Hoiho 1.98.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Tokomanawa Queens coming into this game.
- 6-game winning streak for Southern Hoiho coming into this game.
- 4-1 away for Southern Hoiho this season.
- Net rating difference of 24.1 — Tokomanawa Queens −12.9 per 100 possessions, Southern Hoiho +11.2.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Southern Hoiho.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TOK moneyline | 2.26 | moved down 2.08 |
| SOU moneyline | 1.52 | moved up 1.57 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 161.5 |
| TOK spread | +3.5 | moved down +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 |  Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 |  Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 | Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tokomanawa Queens host Southern Hoiho in the Tauihi Women on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.