Tokomanawa Queens vs Northern Kahu prediction
Tokomanawa Queens
22
21
10
16
Northern Kahu
13
31
21
10
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tokomanawa Queens6980Northern Kahu7568Tokomanawa Queens6980Northern Kahu7568Total 148 Margin TOK by 12 Win TOK 77% Actual 144 · NOR won
Tokomanawa Queens
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Northern Kahu
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tokomanawa Queens vs Northern Kahu
Tokomanawa Queens
Northern Kahu
Last 5 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tokomanawa Queens 3, Northern Kahu 0.
- Average total 162.3 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 3 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting TOK by 16 Nov 29, 2025
Meetings
- Nov 29, 2025 Tauihi Women Northern Kahu 72–88 Tokomanawa Queens 160 pts
- Nov 14, 2025 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 84–59 Northern Kahu 143 pts
- Oct 17, 2025 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 94–90 Northern Kahu 184 pts
Last five games
Tokomanawa Queens
3-2 - Dec 5, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 76, Mid-North Whai 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 29, 2025: Northern Kahu 72, Tokomanawa Queens 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 22, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 88, Mid-North Whai 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 15, 2025: Southern Hoiho 75, Tokomanawa Queens 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 14, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 84, Northern Kahu 59. Won. No odds on record.
Northern Kahu
1-4 - Sep 25: Mid-North Whai 81, Northern Kahu 60. Lost. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.31, Northern Kahu 3.10.
- Nov 29, 2025: Northern Kahu 72, Tokomanawa Queens 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 28, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 102, Northern Kahu 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 21, 2025: Northern Kahu 81, Mid-North Whai 66. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 14, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 84, Northern Kahu 59. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Northern Kahu coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Northern Kahu dropped from 4.10 to 2.10 since they were first published.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Tokomanawa Queens.
- 162.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 156.5.
- 5th vs 4th in the Tauihi Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TOK moneyline | 1.18 | moved up 1.62 |
| NOR moneyline | 4.10 | moved down 2.10 |
| Total points · regulation | 156.5 | 156.5 |
| TOK spread · regulation | −2.5 | −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 |  Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 |  Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 | Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 | Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tokomanawa Queens host Northern Kahu in the Tauihi Women on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.