Tofas vs Esenler Erokspor prediction
Tofas
17
17
25
20
Esenler Erokspor
29
19
11
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tofas7985Esenler Erokspor8782Tofas7985Esenler Erokspor8782Total 167 Margin TOF by 3 Win TOF 57% Actual 166 · ESE won
Tofas
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Esenler Erokspor
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Tofas vs Esenler Erokspor
Tofas
Esenler Erokspor
Last 11 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Tofas at home, last 5 games · Esenler Erokspor away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tofas 0, Esenler Erokspor 2.
- Average total 167.0 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ESE by 10 Mar 8, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 8, 2026 Basketbol Süper Ligi Tofas 81–91 Esenler Erokspor 172 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 Basketbol Süper Ligi Esenler Erokspor 92–70 Tofas 162 pts
Last five games
Tofas
4-1 - Oct 6: JL Bourg 82, Tofas 89. Won. Odds: JL Bourg 1.45, Tofas 2.60.
- Oct 3: Denizli Basket 101, Tofas 87. Lost. Odds: Denizli Basket 2.23, Tofas 1.63.
- Sep 29: Tofas 82, Chemnitz 69. Won. Odds: Tofas 1.21, Chemnitz 4.17.
- Sep 25: Tofas 90, Bordo Bandirma 89. Won. Odds: Tofas 1.29, Bordo Bandirma 3.25.
- May 10: Tofas 73, Petkim Spor 71. Won. No odds on record.
Esenler Erokspor
2-3 - Oct 7: Esenler Erokspor 92, Gence 63. Won. Odds: Esenler Erokspor 1.03, Gence 8.25.
- Oct 3: Esenler Erokspor 96, Petkim Spor 87. Won. Odds: Esenler Erokspor 1.36, Petkim Spor 3.01.
- Sep 28: Korfez Basket 88, Esenler Erokspor 79. Lost. Odds: Korfez Basket 2.50, Esenler Erokspor 1.51.
- May 29: Esenler Erokspor 73, Fenerbahce 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 27: Fenerbahce 94, Esenler Erokspor 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Tofas dropped from 2.05 to 1.78 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.8 — Tofas +0.1 per 100 possessions, Esenler Erokspor +9.9.
- 4-1 in the last five for Tofas.
- 9th vs 5th in the Basketbol Süper Ligi standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TOF moneyline | 2.05 | moved down 1.78 |
| ESE moneyline | 1.62 | moved up 2.00 |
| Total points | 170.5 | 170.5 |
| TOF spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketbol Süper Ligi standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Turk Telekom |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 491 | 430 | +61 |
| 2 |  Bahcesehir Kol. |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 552 | 520 | +32 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahce |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 530 | 498 | +32 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 500 | 492 | +8 |
| 5 | Esenler Erokspor |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 499 | 503 | −4 |
| 6 |  Anadolu Efes |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 428 | 386 | +42 |
| 7 |  Galatasaray |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 475 | +55 |
| 8 |  Karsiyaka |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 485 | 495 | −10 |
| 9 | Tofas |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 476 | 508 | −32 |
| 10 |  Petkim Spor |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 418 | 417 | +1 |
| 11 |  Korfez Basket |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 492 | 507 | −15 |
| 12 | Bordo Bandirma | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 498 | 514 | −16 |
| 13 |  Besiktas |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 413 | 444 | −31 |
| 14 |  Denizli Basket |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 478 | 516 | −38 |
| 15 |  Bursaspor |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 465 | 507 | −42 |
| 16 |  Cayirova |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 445 | −43 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation - TBL
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tofas host Esenler Erokspor in the Basketbol Süper Ligi on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.