Tofas vs Chemnitz prediction
Tofas
22
24
14
22
Chemnitz
15
15
23
16
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tofas8283Chemnitz6984Tofas8283Chemnitz6984Total 167 Margin CHE by 1 Win CHE 51% Actual 151 · TOF won
Tofas
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Chemnitz
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Tofas vs Chemnitz
Tofas
Chemnitz
Last 11 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Tofas at home, last 5 games · Chemnitz away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Tofas
3-2 - Sep 25: Tofas 90, Bordo Bandirma 89. Won. Odds: Tofas 1.29, Bordo Bandirma 3.25.
- May 10: Tofas 73, Petkim Spor 71. Won. No odds on record.
- May 3: Tofas 87, Karsiyaka 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Bahcesehir Kol. 78, Tofas 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Tofas 84, Besiktas 98. Lost. No odds on record.
Chemnitz
2-3 - Sep 27: Chemnitz 94, Phoenix Hagen 93. After overtime. Won. Odds: Chemnitz 1.19, Phoenix Hagen 4.49.
- Sep 25: Hamburg 94, Chemnitz 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Hamburg 2.05, Chemnitz 1.75.
- Sep 18: Alba Berlin 89, Chemnitz 82. Lost. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.30, Chemnitz 3.32.
- Sep 12: Giessen 70, Chemnitz 77. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Basketball Braunschweig 104, Chemnitz 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Tofas coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Tofas dropped from 1.33 to 1.21 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Tofas, 1 for Chemnitz.
- Over/under moved up from 169.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.0 — Tofas +0.1 per 100 possessions, Chemnitz +7.1.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TOF moneyline | 1.33 | moved down 1.21 |
| CHE moneyline | 3.05 | moved up 4.17 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved up 173.5 |
| TOF spread | −7.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Basket Napoli |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 450 | 411 | +39 |
| 2 | Chemnitz |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 441 | 390 | +51 |
| 3 | Tofas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 444 | 403 | +41 |
| 4 |  Buducnost |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 455 | 441 | +14 |
| 5 |  Trento |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 410 | 437 | −27 |
| 6 |  JL Bourg |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 414 | 441 | −27 |
| 7 |  Neptunas |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 424 | 456 | −32 |
| 8 |  Slask Wroclaw |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 451 | −59 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tofas host Chemnitz in the EuroCup on Tuesday, September 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.