TNT Tropang 5G vs San Miguel Beermen prediction
TNT Tropang 5G
30
30
33
23
San Miguel Beermen
33
32
18
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
TNT Tropang 5G116112San Miguel Beermen98121TNT Tropang 5G116112San Miguel Beermen98121Total 233 Margin SMB by 9 Win SMB 68% Actual 214 · TT5 won
TNT Tropang 5G vs San Miguel Beermen
TNT Tropang 5G
San Miguel Beermen
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: TNT Tropang 5G 1, San Miguel Beermen 0.
- Average total 182.0 points per meeting
- Over 209.5 0 of 1 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TT5 by 4 Aug 1, 2026
Meetings
- Aug 1, 2026 Governors Cup TNT Tropang 5G 93–89 OT San Miguel Beermen 182 pts · OT
Last five games
TNT Tropang 5G
3-2 - Oct 7: Terrafirma Dyip 92, TNT Tropang 5G 116. Won. Odds: Terrafirma Dyip 2.80, TNT Tropang 5G 1.36.
- Aug 11: NLEX Road Warriors 118, TNT Tropang 5G 111. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 8: TNT Tropang 5G 114, Titan Ultra Giant Risers 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 4: NLEX Road Warriors 88, TNT Tropang 5G 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 1: TNT Tropang 5G 93, San Miguel Beermen 89. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
San Miguel Beermen
4-1 - Aug 12: Titan Ultra Giant Risers 113, San Miguel Beermen 143. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 8: Macau Black Bears 79, San Miguel Beermen 131. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 5: San Miguel Beermen 126, Converge FiberXers 114. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 1: TNT Tropang 5G 93, San Miguel Beermen 89. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 29: San Miguel Beermen 143, Titan Ultra Giant Risers 105. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for San Miguel Beermen coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on San Miguel Beermen dropped from 1.74 to 1.52 since they were first published.
- 6-2 at home for TNT Tropang 5G this season.
- Over/under moved down from 213.5 to 209.5 since it was first published.
- −13.7 points away — San Miguel Beermen averaged 125.7 at home and 112.0 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TT5 moneyline | 1.95 | moved up 2.00 |
| SMB moneyline | 1.74 | moved down 1.52 |
| Total points | 213.5 | moved down 209.5 |
| TT5 spread | +2.5 | moved up +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NLEX Road Warriors |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1422 | 1226 | +196 |
| 2 | San Miguel Beermen |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1456 | 1303 | +153 |
| 3 |  Converge FiberXers |
12 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 1469 | 1336 | +133 |
| 4 | TNT Tropang 5G |
12 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 1296 | 1190 | +106 |
| 5 |  Terrafirma Dyip |
12 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 1332 | 1341 | −9 |
| 6 |  Macau Black Bears |
12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 1246 | 1561 | −315 |
| 7 |  Titan Ultra Giant Risers |
12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 1284 | 1548 | −264 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
TNT Tropang 5G host San Miguel Beermen in the Governors Cup on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.