TNT Tropang 5G vs Magnolia Hotshots prediction
TNT Tropang 5G
31
20
22
18
Magnolia Hotshots
22
20
16
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
TNT Tropang 5G91105Magnolia Hotshots7399TNT Tropang 5G91105Magnolia Hotshots7399Total 204 Margin TT5 by 6 Win TT5 63% Actual 164 · TT5 won
TNT Tropang 5G vs Magnolia Hotshots
TNT Tropang 5G
Magnolia Hotshots
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: TNT Tropang 5G 3, Magnolia Hotshots 0.
- Average total 173.7 points per meeting
- Over 192.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TT5 by 11 Oct 31, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 31, 2026 Governors Cup Magnolia Hotshots 87–98 TNT Tropang 5G 185 pts
- Sep 17, 2024 Governors Cup Magnolia Hotshots 82–84 TNT Tropang 5G 166 pts
- Aug 29, 2024 Governors Cup TNT Tropang 5G 88–82 Magnolia Hotshots 170 pts
Last five games
TNT Tropang 5G
3-2 - Oct 18: TNT Tropang 5G 112, Converge FiberXers 114. After overtime. Lost. Odds: TNT Tropang 5G 1.82, Converge FiberXers 1.88.
- Oct 13: Macau Black Bears 87, TNT Tropang 5G 142. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: TNT Tropang 5G 116, San Miguel Beermen 98. Won. Odds: TNT Tropang 5G 2.00, San Miguel Beermen 1.52.
- Oct 7: Terrafirma Dyip 92, TNT Tropang 5G 116. Won. Odds: Terrafirma Dyip 2.80, TNT Tropang 5G 1.36.
- Aug 11: NLEX Road Warriors 118, TNT Tropang 5G 111. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Magnolia Hotshots
5-0 - Oct 21: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 103, Magnolia Hotshots 107. Won. Odds: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 2.10, Magnolia Hotshots 1.47.
- Oct 11: Magnolia Hotshots 112, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 93. Won. Odds: Magnolia Hotshots 2.17, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1.64.
- Oct 9: Blackwater Bossing 101, Magnolia Hotshots 107. Won. Odds: Blackwater Bossing 3.40, Magnolia Hotshots 1.27.
- Aug 12: Magnolia Hotshots 115, Phoenix Fuelmasters 101. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 7: Magnolia Hotshots 105, Meralco Bolts 88. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Magnolia Hotshots coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for TNT Tropang 5G.
- 6-2 at home for TNT Tropang 5G this season.
- Over/under moved down from 194.5 to 192.5 since it was first published.
- −8.9 points away — Magnolia Hotshots averaged 100.2 at home and 91.3 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TT5 moneyline | 1.80 | moved down 1.75 |
| MAG moneyline | 1.84 | moved up 1.92 |
| Total points | 194.5 | moved down 192.5 |
| TT5 spread | −1.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NLEX Road Warriors |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1422 | 1226 | +196 |
| 2 |  San Miguel Beermen |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1456 | 1303 | +153 |
| 3 |  Converge FiberXers |
12 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 1469 | 1336 | +133 |
| 4 | TNT Tropang 5G |
12 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 1296 | 1190 | +106 |
| 5 |  Terrafirma Dyip |
12 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 1332 | 1341 | −9 |
| 6 |  Macau Black Bears |
12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 1246 | 1561 | −315 |
| 7 |  Titan Ultra Giant Risers |
12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 1284 | 1548 | −264 |
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magnolia Hotshots |
10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1010 | 942 | +68 |
| 2 |  Rain or Shine Elasto Painters |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 1092 | 1092 | 0 |
| 3 |  Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 966 | 944 | +22 |
| 4 |  Phoenix Fuelmasters |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 975 | 1020 | −45 |
| 5 |  Meralco Bolts |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 997 | 1020 | −23 |
| 6 |  Blackwater Bossing |
10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1053 | 1075 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
TNT Tropang 5G host Magnolia Hotshots in the Governors Cup on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.