Tizona Burgos vs Oviedo Prediction & Odds — Oct 16

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Primera FEB Friday, October 16, 2026Fri, Oct 16 Start14:45ET Round 4

Tizona BurgosHome · 1-5 · 15th · 1.80

1001927251712

OviedoAway · 3-2 · 11th · 1.87

1012524231613

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT

Tizona Burgos 19 27 25 17 12

Oviedo 25 24 23 16 13

AOT Spain Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

OVI +8.5 1.29 85%

Oviedo +8.5 on the spread edge +3.9%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won OVI +8.5 1.29 Oviedo +8.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 74.4% · market 70.5% edge +3.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.87 53.8% 47.3% +6.5% 58% Won

Total points U178.5 1.58 72.3% 64.9% +7.4% 84% Lost

Point spread OVI +8.5 1.29 74.4% 70.5% +3.9% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Tizona Burgos10083

Oviedo10185

Total 168 actual 201

Winning margin OVI by 2 actual OVI by 1

Chance to win OVI 54% OVI won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Tizona Burgos10083

Oviedo10185

Total 168 Margin OVI by 2 Win OVI 54% Actual 201 · OVI won

Last five games

Tizona Burgos 2-3

Oct 10: Granada 91, Tizona Burgos 88. Lost. Odds: Granada 1.10, Tizona Burgos 6.17.
Oct 2: Tizona Burgos 92, Albacete 104. Lost. Odds: Tizona Burgos 1.22, Albacete 3.70.
Sep 26: Ourense 91, Tizona Burgos 71. Lost. Odds: Ourense 1.34, Tizona Burgos 3.03.
May 8: Tizona Burgos 93, Cartagena 80. Won. No odds on record.
May 2: Alicante 92, Tizona Burgos 97. Won. No odds on record.

Oviedo 2-3

Oct 10: Oviedo 99, Fibwi Palma 86. Won. Odds: Oviedo 1.21, Fibwi Palma 4.11.
Oct 3: Oviedo 67, Granada 77. Lost. Odds: Oviedo 2.00, Granada 1.76.
Sep 26: Gran Canaria 108, Oviedo 69. Lost. Odds: Gran Canaria 1.11, Oviedo 5.83.
Jun 6: Estudiantes 79, Oviedo 71. Lost. No odds on record.
May 22: Oviedo 82, Gipuzkoa 75. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TIZ moneyline	1.78	moved up 1.80
OVI moneyline	1.93	moved down 1.87
Total points	170.5	moved up 174.5
TIZ spread	−1.5	−1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Primera FEB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Alicante	6	6	0	12	539	444	+95
2	Palencia	6	5	1	11	502	451	+51
3	Estudiantes	5	5	0	10	444	369	+75
4	Estela	6	4	2	10	496	476	+20
5	Granada	6	4	2	10	480	473	+7
6	Gran Canaria	5	4	1	9	457	361	+96
7	Ourense	6	3	3	9	509	498	+11
8	Caja 87	6	3	3	9	458	460	−2
9	Albacete	6	3	3	9	500	526	−26
10	Palmer Basket	5	3	2	8	439	429	+10
11	Oviedo	5	3	2	8	417	448	−31
12	Zamora	6	2	4	8	455	487	−32
13	Fuenlabrada	6	1	5	7	459	483	−24
14	Cordoba	5	2	3	7	358	388	−30
15	Tizona Burgos	6	1	5	7	525	570	−45
16	Fibwi Palma	6	1	5	7	479	526	−47
17	Menorca	6	0	6	6	420	476	−56
18	Gipuzkoa	5	1	4	6	400	472	−72

ACB
Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Segunda FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Tizona Burgos host Oviedo in the Primera FEB on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.