Tirana vs Pogradeci prediction
Tirana
34
33
18
25
Pogradeci
19
14
15
17
All predictions
2 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tirana110107Pogradeci6574Tirana110107Pogradeci6574Total 181 Margin TIR by 33 Win TIR 96% Actual 175 · TIR won
Tirana
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Pogradeci
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tirana vs Pogradeci
Tirana
Pogradeci
Last 26 and 22 games with full stats · all competitions
Tirana at home, last 14 games · Pogradeci away, last 10
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tirana 2, Pogradeci 0.
- Average total 191.0 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 2 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting TIR by 43 Apr 10, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 10, 2026 Superliga Pogradeci 71–114 Tirana 185 pts
- Jan 11, 2026 Superliga Tirana 124–73 Pogradeci 197 pts
Last five games
Tirana
0-5 - Oct 18: Elbasani 89, Tirana 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 11: Tirana 65, Kamza Basket 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 18: Beselidhja 103, Tirana 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Tirana 77, Beselidhja 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Beselidhja 104, Tirana 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Pogradeci
0-5 - Oct 18: Pogradeci 54, Vllaznia 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 13: Pogradeci 89, Skenderbeu 119. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Pogradeci 71, Tirana 114. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Pogradeci 82, Partizani Tirana 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: Pogradeci 65, Apolonia Fier 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Tirana coming into this game.
- 5-game losing streak for Pogradeci coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 47.6 — Tirana +20.7 per 100 possessions, Pogradeci −26.9.
- 9th vs 11th in the Superliga standings.
- Different pace — Tirana averaged 85.3 possessions per game, Pogradeci 75.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TIR moneyline | 1.01 | moved up 1.02 |
| POG moneyline | 7.50 | moved down 7.00 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Superliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vllaznia |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 342 | 306 | +36 |
| 2 |  Teuta Durres |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 355 | 308 | +47 |
| 3 |  Skenderbeu |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 360 | 320 | +40 |
| 4 |  Kamza Basket |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 240 | 221 | +19 |
| 5 |  Beselidhja |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 291 | 224 | +67 |
| 6 |  Apolonia Fier |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 251 | 206 | +45 |
| 7 |  Partizani Tirana |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 276 | 389 | −113 |
| 8 |  Elbasani |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 251 | 267 | −16 |
| 9 | Tirana |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 261 | 233 | +28 |
| 10 |  PBC Flamurtari |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 301 | 364 | −63 |
| 11 | Pogradeci |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 208 | 298 | −90 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tirana host Pogradeci in the Superliga on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.