Tianjin vs Guangzhou prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 187 Margin GUA by 1 Win GUA 52% Actual 188 · TIA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Tianjin vs Guangzhou
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tianjin 1, Guangzhou 1.
- Average total 202.5 points per meeting
- Over 185.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TIA by 5 Jan 12, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 12, 2026 CBA Guangzhou 93–98 Tianjin 191 pts
- Jan 4, 2026 CBA Tianjin 106–108 OT Guangzhou 214 pts · OT
Last five games
- Oct 20: Xinjiang 107, Tianjin 92. Lost. Odds: Xinjiang 1.06, Tianjin 8.25.
- Oct 17: Sichuan 97, Tianjin 85. Lost. Odds: Sichuan 1.39, Tianjin 2.27.
- Apr 24: Zhejiang Guangsha 103, Tianjin 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: Zhejiang Chouzhou 96, Tianjin 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Tianjin 97, Qingdao 106. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 20: Nanjing Tongxi 81, Guangzhou 114. Won. Odds: Nanjing Tongxi 1.54, Guangzhou 2.35.
- Oct 18: Guangzhou 90, Zhejiang Chouzhou 79. Won. Odds: Guangzhou 2.62, Zhejiang Chouzhou 1.29.
- May 3: Guangdong 90, Guangzhou 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Guangzhou 64, Guangdong 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Guangdong 76, Guangzhou 93. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Tianjin coming into this game.
- 18th vs 8th in the CBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TIA moneyline | 2.60 | moved up 2.75 |
| GUA moneyline | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Total points | 185.5 | 185.5 |
| TIA spread | +5.5 | +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tianjin host Guangzhou in the CBA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.