Terrafirma Dyip vs San Miguel Beermen Prediction & Odds

Governors Cup Wednesday, October 14, 2026Wed, Oct 14 Start05:15ET

Terrafirma DyipHome · 5-7 · 5th · 4.35

10527203325

San Miguel BeermenAway · 9-3 · 2nd · 1.08

13528364130

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Terrafirma Dyip 27 20 33 25

San Miguel Beermen 28 36 41 30

FT Philippines

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.05 86%

San Miguel Beermen to win edge −11.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.05 San Miguel Beermen to win Confidence86% model 63.4% · market 74.7% edge −11.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.05 63.4% 74.7% −11.3% 86% Won

Total points O215.5 1.62 62.4% 56.7% +5.7% 63% Won

Point spread TER +15.5 1.65 55.2% 50.3% +4.9% 56% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Terrafirma Dyip105108

San Miguel Beermen135114

Total 222 actual 240

Winning margin SMB by 6 actual SMB by 30

Chance to win SMB 63% SMB won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Terrafirma Dyip105108

San Miguel Beermen135114

Total 222 Margin SMB by 6 Win SMB 63% Actual 240 · SMB won

Last five games

Terrafirma Dyip 2-3

Oct 10: Macau Black Bears 127, Terrafirma Dyip 146. Won. No odds on record.
Oct 7: Terrafirma Dyip 92, TNT Tropang 5G 116. Lost. Odds: Terrafirma Dyip 2.80, TNT Tropang 5G 1.36.
Aug 11: Converge FiberXers 120, Terrafirma Dyip 103. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 7: Terrafirma Dyip 114, NLEX Road Warriors 109. Won. No odds on record.
Jul 29: Terrafirma Dyip 92, Macau Black Bears 96. Lost. No odds on record.

San Miguel Beermen 3-2

Oct 10: TNT Tropang 5G 116, San Miguel Beermen 98. Lost. Odds: TNT Tropang 5G 2.00, San Miguel Beermen 1.52.
Aug 12: Titan Ultra Giant Risers 113, San Miguel Beermen 143. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 8: Macau Black Bears 79, San Miguel Beermen 131. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 5: San Miguel Beermen 126, Converge FiberXers 114. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 1: TNT Tropang 5G 93, San Miguel Beermen 89. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TER moneyline	3.70	moved up 4.35
SMB moneyline	1.25	moved down 1.08
Total points	218.5	moved up 221.5
TER spread	+15.5	moved down +13.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Governors Cup standings

Regular Season · Group A

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	NLEX Road Warriors	12	9	3	21	1422	1226	+196
2	San Miguel Beermen	12	9	3	21	1456	1303	+153
3	Converge FiberXers	12	8	4	20	1469	1336	+133
4	TNT Tropang 5G	12	7	5	19	1296	1190	+106
5	Terrafirma Dyip	12	5	7	17	1332	1341	−9
6	Macau Black Bears	12	2	10	14	1246	1561	−315
7	Titan Ultra Giant Risers	12	2	10	14	1284	1548	−264

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Terrafirma Dyip host San Miguel Beermen in the Governors Cup on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions