Tennessee State vs Murray State prediction
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tennessee State
Murray StateTennessee StateMurray StateTotal Margin Win
Tennessee State vs Murray State
Tennessee State
Murray State
Last five games
Tennessee State
4-1 - Mar 20: Iowa State 108, Tennessee State 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: Tennessee State 93, Morehead State 67. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 6: Tennessee State 68, UT Martin 55. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 28: UT Martin 42, Tennessee State 67. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 26: Southeast Missouri State 71, Tennessee State 79. Won. No odds on record.
Murray State
1-4 - Mar 6: Murray State 79, Illinois (Chi.) 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 1: Bradley 87, Murray State 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 21: Murray State 88, Evansville 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 18: Illinois State 78, Murray State 61. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 15: Murray State 70, Belmont 87. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Murray State dropped from 1.26 to 1.14 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 160.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for Tennessee State.
- 1-4 in the last five for Murray State.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TEN moneyline | 3.55 | moved up 5.25 |
| MUR moneyline | 1.26 | moved down 1.14 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| TEN spread | +8.5 | moved up +10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NCAA standings
Regular Season · Ohio Valley
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eastern Illinois |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 2 |  Morehead State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 3 |  Southeast Missouri State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 4 |  UT Martin |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 5 | Tennessee State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 6 |  Western Illinois |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 7 |  Siu Edwardsville |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 8 |  Lindenwood |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 9 |  Southern Indiana |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Regular Season · Missouri Valley
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Belmont |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 2 |  Bradley |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 3 |  Drake |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 4 |  Evansville |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 5 |  Illinois (Chi.) |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 6 |  Illinois State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 7 |  Indiana State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 8 | Murray State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 9 |  Northern Iowa |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 10 |  Southern Illinois |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 11 |  Valparaiso |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tennessee State host Murray State in the NCAA on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.