Tenerife vs Baskonia prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin TEN by 9 Win TEN 72% Actual 159 · TEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tenerife vs Baskonia
Last 11 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Tenerife at home, last 6 games · Baskonia away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tenerife 1, Baskonia 1.
- Average total 171.0 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TEN by 4 Feb 1, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 1, 2026 ACB Tenerife 89–85 Baskonia 174 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 ACB Baskonia 89–79 Tenerife 168 pts
Last five games
- Oct 14: Tenerife 96, Maxima Roma 71. Won. Odds: Tenerife 1.26, Maxima Roma 3.30.
- Oct 11: Murcia 77, Tenerife 90. Won. Odds: Murcia 1.42, Tenerife 2.79.
- Oct 6: London Lions 89, Tenerife 77. Lost. Odds: London Lions 2.62, Tenerife 1.47.
- Oct 3: Unicaja 75, Tenerife 80. Won. Odds: Unicaja 1.42, Tenerife 2.78.
- Sep 30: Tenerife 82, Turk Telekom 75. Won. Odds: Tenerife 1.54, Turk Telekom 2.41.
- Oct 16: Virtus Bologna 86, Baskonia 78. Lost. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.48, Baskonia 2.45.
- Oct 13: Baskonia 79, Dubai 93. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 2.22, Dubai 1.66.
- Oct 11: Baskonia 93, Joventut Badalona 73. Won. Odds: Baskonia 1.50, Joventut Badalona 2.53.
- Oct 9: Baskonia 84, Besiktas 92. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 1.72, Besiktas 2.12.
- Oct 4: Baskonia 118, Basquet Girona 78. Won. Odds: Baskonia 1.20, Basquet Girona 4.31.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Tenerife dropped from 1.55 to 1.38 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Tenerife, 1 for Baskonia.
- Over/under moved down from 177.5 to 175.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.7 — Tenerife +10.4 per 100 possessions, Baskonia −3.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Tenerife.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TEN moneyline | 1.55 | moved down 1.38 |
| BAS moneyline | 2.30 | moved up 2.77 |
| Total points | 177.5 | moved down 175.5 |
| TEN spread | −3.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tenerife host Baskonia in the ACB on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.