Tenerife vs Basket Zaragoza Prediction & Odds

ACB Sunday, September 27, 2026Sun, Sep 27 Start07:00ET Round 1

TenerifeHome · 4-2 · 4th · 1.32

8018202715

Basket ZaragozaAway · 4-2 · 6th · 3.24

8118262413

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Tenerife 18 20 27 15

Basket Zaragoza 18 26 24 13

FT Pabellón Insular Santiago Martín · SpainPabellón Insular Santiago Martín · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 1.32 86%

Tenerife to win edge −2.1%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 1.32 Tenerife to win Confidence86% model 69.5% · market 71.6% edge −2.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.32 69.5% 71.6% −2.1% 86% Lost

Total points O172.5 1.84 54.8% 50.0% +4.8% 55% Lost

Point spread BAS +7.5 1.82 42.9% 50.0% −7.1% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Tenerife8091

Basket Zaragoza8184

Total 175 actual 161

Winning margin TEN by 7 actual BAS by 1

Chance to win TEN 69% BAS won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Tenerife8091

Basket Zaragoza8184

Total 175 Margin TEN by 7 Win TEN 69% Actual 161 · BAS won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Tenerife large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Basket Zaragoza

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Tenerife vs Basket Zaragoza

Tenerife Basket Zaragoza

Last 11 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Tenerife 1-4

Jun 13: Tenerife 76, Barcelona 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 11: Barcelona 97, Tenerife 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 9: Barcelona 100, Tenerife 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 6: Real Madrid 95, Tenerife 107. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 4: Tenerife 83, Real Madrid 118. Lost. No odds on record.

Basket Zaragoza 1-4

May 29: Breogan 94, Basket Zaragoza 95. Won. No odds on record.
May 26: Basket Zaragoza 86, Valencia 98. Lost. No odds on record.
May 24: Basket Zaragoza 90, Murcia 100. Lost. No odds on record.
May 16: Manresa 101, Basket Zaragoza 83. Lost. No odds on record.
May 9: Basket Zaragoza 74, Granada 85. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TEN moneyline	1.26	moved up 1.32
BAS moneyline	3.55	moved down 3.24
Total points	172.5	172.5
TEN spread	−7.5	moved up −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ACB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	12	654	526	+128
2	Valencia	6	4	2	10	594	523	+71
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	10	567	497	+70
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	10	527	479	+48
5	Breogan	6	4	2	10	628	592	+36
6	Basket Zaragoza	6	4	2	10	552	523	+29
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	10	582	570	+12
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	10	557	556	+1
9	Unicaja	6	3	3	9	530	507	+23
10	Murcia	6	3	3	9	560	563	−3
11	Obradoiro CAB	6	3	3	9	533	576	−43
12	Basquet Girona	6	3	3	9	543	594	−51
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	8	528	525	+3
14	Joventut Badalona	6	2	4	8	551	549	+2
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	8	540	599	−59
16	MoraBanc Andorra	6	1	5	7	507	579	−72
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	7	557	641	−84
18	Manresa	6	0	6	6	506	617	−111

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Primera FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Tenerife host Basket Zaragoza in the ACB on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.