Telsiai vs Vilkaviskis prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Margin TEL by 8 Win TEL 70% Actual 164 · TEL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Telsiai vs Vilkaviskis
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Telsiai at home, last 5 games · Vilkaviskis away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Telsiai 1, Vilkaviskis 2.
- Average total 163.7 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VIL by 5 Mar 7, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 7, 2026 NKL Telsiai 72–77 Vilkaviskis 149 pts
- Dec 20, 2025 NKL Telsiai 86–83 Vilkaviskis 169 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 NKL Vilkaviskis 99–74 Telsiai 173 pts
Last five games
- Oct 15: Neptunas 2 72, Telsiai 85. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2 2.35, Telsiai 1.50.
- Oct 10: Kedainiai BC 61, Telsiai 73. Won. Odds: Kedainiai BC 2.57, Telsiai 1.42.
- Oct 8: Telsiai 83, Mazeikiai 72. Won. Odds: Telsiai 1.21, Mazeikiai 3.75.
- Oct 3: Telsiai 90, Plunges Olimpas 70. Won. Odds: Telsiai 1.40, Plunges Olimpas 2.75.
- Oct 1: Rytas 2 77, Telsiai 91. Won. Odds: Rytas 2 2.40, Telsiai 1.48.
- Oct 15: Vilkaviskis 81, Silute 97. Lost. Odds: Vilkaviskis 1.32, Silute 3.15.
- Oct 8: Kauno Atletas 76, Vilkaviskis 84. Won. Odds: Kauno Atletas 4.05, Vilkaviskis 1.19.
- Oct 3: Vilkaviskis 84, Kretinga 65. Won. Odds: Vilkaviskis 1.33, Kretinga 2.95.
- Oct 1: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 107, Vilkaviskis 104. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.91, Vilkaviskis 1.70.
- Apr 28: Vytis VDU 86, Vilkaviskis 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Telsiai coming into this game.
- 5-0 at home for Telsiai this season.
- 1-4 away for Vilkaviskis this season.
- Net rating difference of 26.4 — Telsiai +21.1 per 100 possessions, Vilkaviskis −5.3.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Vilkaviskis.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TEL moneyline | 1.31 | moved up 1.40 |
| VIL moneyline | 3.10 | moved down 2.75 |
| Total points | 162.5 | moved down 161.5 |
| TEL spread | −6.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Telsiai host Vilkaviskis in the NKL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.