Telsiai vs Ukmerges Stekas Prediction & Odds

NKL Thursday, October 22, 2026Thu, Oct 22 Start11:00ET Round 7

TelsiaiHome · 10-0 · 1st · 1.10

10431272125

Ukmerges StekasAway · 3-6 · 14th · 4.55

7016201816

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Telsiai 31 27 21 25

Ukmerges Stekas 16 20 18 16

FT Telsiu sporto arena · LithuaniaTelsiu sporto arena · Round 7

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

UKM +13.5 1.81 51%

Ukmerges Stekas +13.5 on the spread edge −11.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost UKM +13.5 1.81 Ukmerges Stekas +13.5 on the spread Confidence51% model 39.3% · market 51.0% edge −11.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.10 79.0% 84.4% −5.4% 85% Won

Total points O167.5 1.85 51.0% 49.0% +2.0% 52% Won

Point spread UKM +13.5 1.81 39.3% 51.0% −11.7% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Telsiai10490

Ukmerges Stekas7078

Total 168 actual 174

Winning margin TEL by 12 actual TEL by 34

Chance to win TEL 79% TEL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Telsiai10490

Ukmerges Stekas7078

Total 168 Margin TEL by 12 Win TEL 79% Actual 174 · TEL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Telsiai large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Ukmerges Stekas

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Telsiai vs Ukmerges Stekas

Telsiai Ukmerges Stekas

Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Telsiai 5-0

Oct 17: Telsiai 94, Vilkaviskis 70. Won. Odds: Telsiai 1.40, Vilkaviskis 2.75.
Oct 15: Neptunas 2 72, Telsiai 85. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2 2.35, Telsiai 1.50.
Oct 10: Kedainiai BC 61, Telsiai 73. Won. Odds: Kedainiai BC 2.57, Telsiai 1.42.
Oct 8: Telsiai 83, Mazeikiai 72. Won. Odds: Telsiai 1.21, Mazeikiai 3.75.
Oct 3: Telsiai 90, Plunges Olimpas 70. Won. Odds: Telsiai 1.40, Plunges Olimpas 2.75.

Ukmerges Stekas 2-3

Oct 17: Ukmerges Stekas 76, BC Olimpas Palanga 107. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.75, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.40.
Oct 15: Ukmerges Stekas 73, Omega-Tauras 87. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.91, Omega-Tauras 1.75.
Oct 10: Kretinga 95, Ukmerges Stekas 99. Won. Odds: Kretinga 1.93, Ukmerges Stekas 1.75.
Oct 8: Ukmerges Stekas 108, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 87. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.72, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.38.
Oct 3: Silute 80, Ukmerges Stekas 72. Lost. Odds: Silute 1.30, Ukmerges Stekas 3.25.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TEL moneyline	1.09	moved up 1.10
UKM moneyline	5.90	moved down 4.55
Total points	167.5	167.5
TEL spread	−12.5	moved down −13.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NKL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	20	882	725	+157
2	Jurbarkas	9	8	1	17	793	667	+126
3	BC Olimpas Palanga	10	8	2	18	930	806	+124
4	Neptunas 2	9	6	3	15	693	668	+25
5	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	16	870	824	+46
6	Silute	8	6	2	14	667	619	+48
7	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	16	814	781	+33
8	Suduva-Mantinga	8	6	2	14	752	627	+125
9	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	15	861	882	−21
10	Vytis VDU	7	4	3	11	658	648	+10
11	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	10	4	6	14	957	971	−14
12	Kedainiai BC	10	4	6	14	768	838	−70
13	Vilkaviskis	9	4	5	13	733	762	−29
14	Ukmerges Stekas	9	3	6	12	737	817	−80
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	12	797	881	−84
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	12	765	865	−100
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	10	751	873	−122
18	Kauno Atletas	9	0	9	9	696	870	−174

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Telsiai host Ukmerges Stekas in the NKL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.