Telsiai vs Plunges Olimpas prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin PLU by 9 Win PLU 71% Actual 160 · TEL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Telsiai vs Plunges Olimpas
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Telsiai at home, last 5 games · Plunges Olimpas away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Telsiai 2, Plunges Olimpas 0.
- Average total 171.5 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TEL by 20 Dec 18, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 18, 2025 NKL Plunges Olimpas 72–92 Telsiai 164 pts
- Oct 16, 2025 NKL Telsiai 91–88 Plunges Olimpas 179 pts
Last five games
- Oct 1: Rytas 2 77, Telsiai 91. Won. Odds: Rytas 2 2.40, Telsiai 1.48.
- Mar 25: Telsiai 66, Neptunas 2 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 23: Neptunas 2 78, Telsiai 53. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 20: Telsiai 67, Neptunas 2 61. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 14: Telsiai 68, Suduva-Mantinga 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 1: Plunges Olimpas 85, Silute 92. Lost. Odds: Plunges Olimpas 1.72, Silute 1.95.
- Mar 14: Plunges Olimpas 98, Omega-Tauras 89. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: BC Olimpas Palanga 72, Plunges Olimpas 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: Neptunas 2 100, Plunges Olimpas 106. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 5: Plunges Olimpas 98, Silute 93. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-0 at home for Telsiai this season.
- Net rating difference of 19.1 — Telsiai +21.1 per 100 possessions, Plunges Olimpas +2.0.
- −15.6 points away — Plunges Olimpas averaged 90.8 at home and 75.2 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Plunges Olimpas.
- 1st vs 7th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TEL moneyline | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| PLU moneyline | 2.65 | moved up 2.75 |
| Total points | 164.5 | 164.5 |
| TEL spread | −6.5 | moved up −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Telsiai host Plunges Olimpas in the NKL on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
