Telsiai vs Kauno Atletas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Margin TEL by 26 Win TEL 97% Actual 176 · TEL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Telsiai vs Kauno Atletas
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Telsiai at home, last 5 games · Kauno Atletas away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 24: Suduva-Mantinga 69, Telsiai 71. Won. Odds: Suduva-Mantinga 1.62, Telsiai 2.20.
- Oct 22: Telsiai 104, Ukmerges Stekas 70. Won. Odds: Telsiai 1.10, Ukmerges Stekas 4.55.
- Oct 17: Telsiai 94, Vilkaviskis 70. Won. Odds: Telsiai 1.40, Vilkaviskis 2.75.
- Oct 15: Neptunas 2 72, Telsiai 85. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2 2.35, Telsiai 1.50.
- Oct 10: Kedainiai BC 61, Telsiai 73. Won. Odds: Kedainiai BC 2.57, Telsiai 1.42.
- Oct 27: Suduva-Mantinga 113, Kauno Atletas 63. Lost. Odds: Suduva-Mantinga 1.01, Kauno Atletas 8.25.
- Oct 22: Vytis VDU 97, Kauno Atletas 85. Lost. Odds: Vytis VDU 1.04, Kauno Atletas 6.20.
- Oct 17: Kauno Atletas 72, Kretinga 84. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 2.65, Kretinga 1.43.
- Oct 15: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 107, Kauno Atletas 83. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.06, Kauno Atletas 8.00.
- Oct 10: Alytaus Patriotai 86, Kauno Atletas 75. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.50, Kauno Atletas 2.37.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game winning streak for Telsiai coming into this game.
- 7-game losing streak for Kauno Atletas coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Telsiai, 1 for Kauno Atletas.
- 5-0 at home for Telsiai this season.
- 0-5 away for Kauno Atletas this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TEL moneyline | 1.03 | moved down 1.01 |
| KAU moneyline | 9.50 | moved down 7.90 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| TEL spread | −22.5 | moved down −23.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Telsiai host Kauno Atletas in the NKL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.