Team FOG Naestved vs Svendborg prediction
Team FOG Naestved
28
22
15
21
Svendborg
18
16
21
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Team FOG Naestved8695Svendborg8384Team FOG Naestved8695Svendborg8384Total 179 Margin TFN by 11 Win TFN 69% Actual 169 · TFN won
Team FOG Naestved
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Svendborg
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Team FOG Naestved vs Svendborg
Team FOG Naestved
Svendborg
Last 8 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Team FOG Naestved 4, Svendborg 1.
- Average total 176.4 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TFN by 15 May 7, 2026
Meetings
- May 7, 2026 Basketligaen Svendborg 80–95 Team FOG Naestved 175 pts
- May 4, 2026 Basketligaen Team FOG Naestved 111–87 Svendborg 198 pts
- Apr 30, 2026 Basketligaen Svendborg 63–75 Team FOG Naestved 138 pts
- Apr 27, 2026 Basketligaen Team FOG Naestved 88–101 Svendborg 189 pts
- Mar 30, 2026 Basketligaen Team FOG Naestved 92–90 Svendborg 182 pts
Last five games
Team FOG Naestved
4-1 - Oct 10: BMS Herlev 55, Team FOG Naestved 117. Won. Odds: BMS Herlev 15.10, Team FOG Naestved –.
- Sep 30: Team FOG Naestved 90, Copenhagen 64. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved 1.06, Copenhagen 6.38.
- Sep 27: Horsens 73, Team FOG Naestved 101. Won. Odds: Horsens 2.35, Team FOG Naestved 1.46.
- Sep 24: Team FOG Naestved 117, Holbaek-Stenhus 56. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved –, Holbaek-Stenhus 15.10.
- May 25: Team FOG Naestved 81, Bakken Bears 87. Lost. No odds on record.
Svendborg
4-1 - Oct 7: Gladsaxe 70, Svendborg 92. Won. Odds: Gladsaxe 6.25, Svendborg 1.07.
- Oct 2: Svendborg 102, Vejen 74. Won. Odds: Svendborg 1.08, Vejen 5.96.
- Sep 26: Svendborg 86, Holbaek-Stenhus 75. Won. Odds: Svendborg –, Holbaek-Stenhus 12.10.
- Sep 23: Randers 83, Svendborg 96. Won. Odds: Randers 1.52, Svendborg 2.30.
- Sep 17: Svendborg 70, Horsens 92. Lost. Odds: Svendborg 1.47, Horsens 2.45.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Team FOG Naestved coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for Svendborg coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Svendborg, 4 for Team FOG Naestved.
- Net rating difference of 26.6 — Team FOG Naestved +37.9 per 100 possessions, Svendborg +11.3.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Team FOG Naestved.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TFN moneyline | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| SVE moneyline | 4.10 | moved up 5.53 |
| Total points | 175.5 | 175.5 |
| TFN spread | −11.5 | moved down −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Team FOG Naestved |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 |
| 2 |  Bakken Bears |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 |
| 3 |  Horsens |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 |
| 4 | Svendborg |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 |
| 5 |  Randers |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 |
| 6 |  Copenhagen |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 |
| 7 |  Holbaek-Stenhus |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 |
| 8 |  Gladsaxe |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 |
| 9 |  Vaerlose |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 |
| 10 |  Vejen |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 |  Bears Academy |
8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Team FOG Naestved host Svendborg in the Basketligaen on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.